Saturday, 16 December 2017

Quarter Four Local By-Election Results 2017

Overall, 116,787 votes were cast over 79 local authority (tier one and tier two) contests. All percentages are rounded to the nearest single decimal place. For comparison see Quarter Three's results here.

  Party
Number of Candidates
Total Vote
%
+/- 
Q3
+/- Q4 2016
Average
+/-
Seats
Conservative
         76
37,818
   32.4%
 +1.8%
   +1.6%
   498
    -7
Labour
         73
40,480
   34.7%
  -2.9%
   +9.8%
   555
    -1
LibDem
         65
21,263
   18.2%
 +6.3%
    -0.2%
   327
   +9
UKIP
         27
 3,003
    2.6%
 +0.6%
    -3.2%
   111
    -3
Green
         43
 3,745
    3.2%
 -2.0%
   +0.0%
    87
   +1
SNP*
          3
 3,762
    3.2%
 -2.0%
    -4.5%
 1,254
     0
PC
          1
   525
    0.4%
 +0.4%
    -0.9%  
   525
     0
Ind***
         28
 5,187
    4.4%
 -1.7%
    -2.4%
   185
   +1
Other****
          6
 1,004
    0.9%
 -1.0%
    -0.9%
   167
     0

* There were three by-elections in Scotland
** There were two by-elections in Wales
*** There were five Independent clashes
**** Others this quarter consisted of Yorkshire Party (153 and 156), Putting Hartlepool First (474), Elvis Bus Pass (34), It's Our County (Herefordshire) (156), and English Democrats (31)

Nothing dramatic has happened in this quarter, though the numbers for the top parties are a touch depressed, no doubt thanks to a surging Liberal Democrats. These kinds of percentages and successes were last seen before the general election. With nothing moving in the national polls, are we seeing a reversion back to how it was before last April, at least as far as by-elections are concerned? Possibly, though UKIP remains almost entirely spent.

Anyways, the year end aggregation is up next so we'll cast some more thoughts in this direction then.

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