I see John Rentoul has peered into the crystal ball and has predicted that a Jeremy Corbyn-led Labour Party would not do as well in the next election compared to 2017. Does he have a point or will his forecasts, just like those for last year's general election, prove as useless as Mystic Meg's? Let's examine his reasoning. There are three strings to John's bow. In reverse order, the Tories will not be led by Theresa May, the press are going to subject Labour's manifesto to greater scrutiny, but most importantly - and the main angle of the piece - Corbyn isn't the "magic grandpa" we thought him to be. John concedes that Labour ran a brilliant campaign and what the Blairites thought was an albatross (i.e. Corbyn) turned out to be a secret weapon. His affable, friendly, no-frills style encouraged voters to take another look and that's what they saw. The terrorist-loving ogre of Tory propaganda fame was nowhere to be seen. He was refreshing. However, the surprise factor won't be there next time. Jeremy Corbyn's presence is familiar, he's not the great unknown. And most damaging, at least according to John, is that Corbyn has become tetchy. The Labour leader is no longer endearing. More roll eye interviews, more visible shows of annoyance and his personality will sink Labour's campaign before it has started. Now, looking ahead to the next election is interesting. Things will be different and worth considering in more depth in due course. But please. Is John's take what passes for cutting analysis in bourgeois politics? Evgeny Lebedev actually pays for these banalities? I mean, even if you think about it in the ridiculous terms John sets himself his argument falls apart. If Corbyn is more sour puss than Bagpuss, that's not going to change the minds of those who aren't going to vote Labour. And for those who are it's more evidence of the appalling treatment he gets from the media. This is something even floating voters of the self-defined centre have woken up to, at least if the theatrics of the Follow Back Pro Europe folks on Twitter are anything to go by. In short, people outside the hallowed halls of Westminster aren't thick and they are media savvy, and are increasingly so as older people pass on and younger, heavily mediatised folks enter the electoral fray. Indeed, you might say they have more of a clue than those who use the papers and the TV studios to push their politics. Including well remunerated, professional commentators. Many things will impact on the result of the next election, but Corbyn getting short with a reporter for asking another stupid question won't be one of them.
And so the blood moon hung low in the firmament as lions and lambs joyfully cantered and capered about the field. The end of the world? No, the first round up of new(ish) left blogs and assorted doings since Nebuchadnezzar vacated Babylon's throne. Blogging might be dead, but only because everyone's at it. Micro-blogging, Facebook statuses, podcasting, haunting comments sections, blogging is invisible because it's everywhere. And so to celebrate the effervescence of comment here are another eight sites for you to look at. 1. A Bit Left and Lost (Unaligned) (Twitter) 2. Autonomy Institute (Unaligned) (Twitter) 3. Logic: A Magazine about Technology (Unaligned) (Twitter) 4. Notes from Below (Unaligned) (Twitter) 5. Political Provocateur (Labour) 6. Politics Theory Other (Unaligned) (Twitter) 7. The Red Robin (Labour) (Twitter) 8. The Tides of History (Labour) (Twitter) If you know of any new(ish) blogs that haven't featured before then drop me a line via the comments, email, Facebook, or Twitter. Please note I'm looking for blogs that have started within the last 12 months or thereabouts. The new blog round up appears when I have enough new blogs to justify a post!
As the dust settles after another episode in Labour's interminable anti-semitism wars, one in which we're told there's a "fine line" between opposing Israel's oppression of Palestinians and anti-Jewish racism, it seems even the most gutter attacks will do as long as it's seen to damage Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party. Yet let's step back and assess the factional battlefield. It does look like the party will adopt the contested IHRA definition and its woolly examples. And the anti-Corbyn group in the party have successfully worked to ensure anti-semitism allegations have dominated the summer's headlines and news bulletins, crowding out even egregious and deliberate displays of Tory racism. This flashy show of apparent strength, however, papers over real weakness and retreat. Yes, despite the likes of Hodge, Umunna, Austin and others dragging the party's name through the mud without comeback or consequence they are still losing. Consider the bunkum about Labour's institutionalised anti-semitism. For those gullible enough to swallow the line of the Labour right, a number have foolishly taken them at their word and torn up their party cards. Meanwhile, they are getting replaced by a wider circle of Labour supporters disgusted at the attacks on Corbyn and have joined the party in solidarity. When you're in the numbers game, which among other things factional battles always are, pushing a strategy that builds your opponents' base while shredding your own is stupid. Not only are the right's shenanigans building up the left, it's firming up and sharpening its attitudes and outlook. Smart centre and right Labour MPs understand this, which is why we see the same old malcontents time and again. Most keep shtum. As they have and continue to behave appallingly, they make their dread nemesis - mandatory reselection - more likely. Consider Unite, would they now be backing it if the right hadn't repeatedly lied about and scabbed on the members these last three years? The leader's office might be minded to compromise, but the bulk of the left are not. Support for reselection is growing among members, which the right can chalk up to their genius moves. And third, for all the hand-wringing, the theatrics and bad language, what has actually been achieved? There is no appreciable impact on Labour's polling. Indeed, the consensus points to a modest lead. Likewise, ordinary people who don't pay attention to Westminster minutiae are getting sick of hearing about it too. And guess what, they're not blaming Corbyn for the round-the-clock coverage. They see politicians who like the sounds of their own voices attempting to bully someone they might not like but accept is principled and driven by values over self-interest. It's also possible a few more people have started following things in more depth and are getting a crash course in media manipulation and lobby hack cronyism. Well done the Labour right! What we are seeing is a consequence of an entirely avoidable and self-inflicted factional collapse. But how has it come to this? Where is their self-awareness, their instinct for self-preservation? There are a series of reasons, but chief among them is they're just not good at politics. And as this encompasses many politicians, not just one or two, incompetence has to be more than a coincidence of personal failings: if large numbers consistently make crap calls we're talking about dysfunctional social relationships. It's widely accepted that the PLP has gentrified. Thanks to the defeat of the labour movement in the 1980s and shutting down the conveyor between the shop floor and Westminster the unions once provided (Angela Rayner proving a rare, recent exception), middle class professionals simply expanded into the vacancies the unions left unfilled. And we have Neil Kinnock and Tony Blair to thank too. Getting more of these sorts in, so went the reasoning, would increase the party's kerb appeal to nice middle class people in the market for an alternative to the Tories. Now, there's never been a golden age of Labour selections without unfair advantages, but as the centre of gravity shifted away from the unions and more to the party leadership and the apparat different skills were demanded of aspirant MPs. Forming alliances with key officials, politicians, people who matter, and factional outfits draws on networking virtuosity, of looking smooth and speaking well, and transferring one's PowerPoint presentation skills to the selection meeting. The stuff of political organising beyond voter ID was obsolete next to the glad handing, back rubbing, and smoke blowing capacities of the determined careerist. Fast forward to 2015 and the return of mass politics, the cadres formerly used to the calm waters of the Blairist paddling pool suddenly find themselves at sea without a compass, a life jacket, and no idea how to swim. They don't know how to fight politically because they've never had to, and they're definitely unused to masses of new members immune to the star power that wowed the sparsely attended CLP meetings of old. Disarmed by upbringing, habit and inclination, the fact their boasts to out-recruit and out-organise Corbynism were always going to prove empty, if not farcical, and so they have. This brings us back to their counter-productive, self-destructive campaign against the party. They could've eaten a bit of humble pie, learned from Corbynism and developed a skill set appropriate to the political situation. But they didn't. The media is what they know and what they think matters because it did under Saint Tony. Obviously, it does still but its power is hobbled by social media, which circumvents its messaging and reaches beyond the audiences of specialist politics programmes and the papers themselves. And then there is the reach of the party itself. At 550,000 members and another 300,000 affiliates on top almost everyone in Britain now knows a family member or a friend who is a member or a vocal supporter. Remembering these are heavily pro-Corbyn, the left have won the network wars outside of the internet as well. For instance, a non-political mate is more likely to believe my take on what's happening to Labour than any number of talking head personnel managers lining up to attack Corbyn. And there are hundreds of thousands like me. The left have roots, and the right do not. All they have is privileged media access and a mindset that can only comprehend success in media terms - the column inches given over to their positions, the air time, the prominence in the news. Even their own people abandoning the party is seen not as a disaster but proof their strategy is working! Many folks have noted how much the Labour right shares with their Tory counterparts. The tendency to Parliamentary cretinism and cross-party chumminess immediately come to mind. There is something else they share too: decadence. Their entire trend is zombified and dropping to bits, and yet they mindlessly carry on, uninterested or unable to grasp the character of their predicament. And nothing will change until the much-promised centrist outfit turns up and they disappear into the obscurity of the historical footnote, or party members call time on their undistinguished careers.
It is some time since Jeremy Corbyn last held a rally in Stoke-on-Trent, but this afternoon he got a proper Potters' welcome from the Labour Parties of North Staffordshire as he swung through on his summer tour of Tory-held marginals. With zero publicity beyond social media and word of mouth in labour movement circles, 500 turning up on a week day afternoon in the middle of the summer holidays isn't to be sniffed at. Jeremy had to address the hundred or so outside who couldn't be let into the venue at Stoke City's footy ground. Could any other politician in Britain manage such a feat? A fundraising and party-building event for Stoke South Labour Party, this "People-Powered Mass Meeting" (as it was officially dubbed) heard from a few folks prior to Jeremy's speech. James Cunningham, one of Labour's cadre of community organisers talked about his mission, which was getting Mark McDonald (Labour's PPC for Stoke South) elected, Jeremy in Number 10 and a Labour government. Striking a local note, Becky Sargeant noted how Stoke's GCSE results are 17 points below the national average. This she located in straightened resources, as well as a lack of aspiration and inspiration, a view that Stoke has accepted "good enough" for too long. We also heard a couple of contributions from the floor. Nisha, a recent graduate who returned to Stoke from Manchester talked about the need for opportunities for young people. And a speaker from Berry Hill Fields Community Action group criticised councillors, including Labour councillors, who had not responded to their campaign against plans to put a road through and develop 1,300 new houses on one of the city's green field sites. Not only should we prioritise brown field builds (it's not as though Stoke has a shortage of them), councillors shouldn't think they know best for areas about which they know little. Then it was Mark McDonald's turn. He talked about his beginnings growing up on benefits in the Thatcher years, supported by a single mum and attending a run-down school with no qualifications. After leaving, he started work as a sheet metal worker before getting a porting job with the NHS. Mark said it was this experience that politicised him, recalling doctors falling asleep on shift and seeing the rationing of resources close up. He noted that this was a history repeating itself under this Tory government. Mark said he was a socialist, "a proud socialist" and that it "makes me angry that Stoke South is represented by a Tory". Socialism scares the establishment, which is why they're chucking everything at us. Therefore we need a massive team to take the constituency back. Now for the main event. Jeremy began by noting he'd been to 75 marginal constituencies so far, with a spell in the East Midlands from tomorrow and then Scotland next week. He talked about how, just over a year ago, the media lined up to write Labour's obituary, but the near miss, which involved the biggest swing to Labour since 1945 and the highest number of votes in England since 1970 was because of the "incredible achievement" of the manifesto. It was also a campaign fought at two levels - in the studios, where the last rites were performed, but crucially, and under their radar, through the networks of new voters, particularly the young, registering to vote. It was because people were having conversations, that the party was talking and listening and helping bring people together. Moving onto the first of his three policy areas, Jeremy began with education. He talked about how when pupils come to school hungry, they find it hard to learn and noted how teachers often dig into their own pockets to help some of them out. Therefore the fight against poverty and inequality is inseparable from a good education policy. Also, Labour's position is about potential and recognising the creativity in all children, which is supported by the 'Pupil Arts Premium'. This initiative, where it has been trialled, provided a musical instrument for all the children. The knock on effect was a rise in grades across the board, showing how creativity opens up thinking and application in other subjects. Jeremy also attacked the obsession with league tables. These are fine for football, but it places undue pressures on teachers and students - the former because of added admin, the latter because schools will not enter students into exams if they think their results might threaten their precious positioning. This is not good enough - giving pupils their best chance is always more important, Jeremy argued. He also reprised his comments on history in schools. He said pupils should learn about how the achievement we take for granted, like women's suffrage and the NHS, happened because of movements, of people making sacrifices and exerting effort to bring them about. They didn't just spring up because they were nice ideas. Concluding, Jeremy said corporation tax would go up to fund education and that the next Labour government's lasting legacy would be its National Education Service. What this should look like is up to us, and invited everyone to participate in the policy discussion. He then moved on to the NHS, which was Labour's proudest and greatest achievement. No one wants to be ill, he noted, but at least here in Britain you don't have to shoulder the worry of bankruptcy on top of this. He also attacked the Tory/Liberal Democrat Health and Social Care Act, which dissipates the NHS workforce, and encourages cuts and the sell off of services thanks to marketisation. Jeremy also called for mental health services to be properly funded and a proper care service, saying it was a scandal that it is (more often than not) women who have to give up their careers and lives to look after ailing relatives. Moving onto matters economic, he said a national and regional investment backs would be the bedrock of Labour's plan. But he also noted that in places like Stoke, the local people know best what the economic strategy should be, and announced such a project exploring this would be set up in the Autumn under the auspices of Mark McDonald and John McDonnell. He also wanted to see better jobs, stronger rights for workers, and a living wage of at least £10/hour. It can be different, and Labour should stand up to be different. Here, Jeremy veered into international issues and said Labour would stand up to Donald Trump and his dumping of the Paris Climate Change Agreement, and his ditching of the Iran nuclear accord. Lastly, Jeremy said a few words about the current press storm. He said "our friends" in the media are very hostile to us, but this is proportional to our strength. Their attacks grow and get louder because we're getting stronger. He also attacked racism as a scourge "anywhere, any place, any time" and that he looks forward to living in a society where we can be proud of and respect differences, where they're not seen as a threat but as a strength. He also noted the energy that goes into racist attacks does not resolve anything, it does not train a single nurse or save a public service - they do not make anyone better off. Rather, by working together people can transform together. Our manifesto was a protest against and an alternative to austerity and division, and that its message is more powerful than now. Jeremy's speech ended in a round of applause, and Mark was able to present him with some Anita Harris pottery by way of thanks for his visit, before the usual scrum of selfies and gossip-trading descended. Names were gathered for campaigning, and £500 was raised for party coffers. In all, there was nothing here that Jeremy had not already said before, but for a number of people this would have been their first taste of the Labour Party in the flesh. Again, those fools who look upon Jeremy Corbyn's support and dismiss it as a cult only identify themselves as pig ignorant. Just like the recent Trump protests, Jeremy is a catalyst and a spectacle, but this is not a relation of passivity, of a great leader delivering programming to the minds of hundreds of robots. Jeremy is the figurehead of a movement, a half-million strong assemblage of people pulling together around a set of anti-establishment, anti-neoliberal and (potentially) anti-capitalist politics. Going to an event brings participants into contact with the party. They speak to members, join, find out how to get more involved, catch up with comrades and so on. Sure, some drift in and out with their cynicism intact, but many others do not. Such is one means by which movements are built, of how networks grow, take on weight and become powerful, and that is certainly what happened in Stoke today. In all, as launches of the long campaign to take back Stoke South for Labour this was a complete success - especially so if the faces of the two young Tory plants sat in front of me were anything to go by ... Image Credit
I've got a couple of guilty secrets. Would you like to hear them? The first is I do enjoy a McDonald's. Don't go very often (don't think I've been this year, if memory serves) but there's no point denying it. In the old, old job they were something of a regularity. Too much, you might say. And the other? I think this game, which is a marketing vehicle for McDonald's, is thoroughly enjoyable. In fact, you could say it's too good for the purposes of flashy advertising. What's it all about then, and how to you go about building a game around a corporate mascot? In the early 90s this sort of thing was entirely commonplace. From the British home computer revolution to the mighty Japanese console manufacturers, mascots were a staple. Mario and Sonic are the best-known, but in the UK bedroom coders and software houses churned out their own - Ultimate's Sabreman, Gremlin's Monty Mole, Codemasters' Dizzy. Likewise, British firms were very quick to get into licensedproperties. Developers then were well used to building games around particular personalities and character traits, so when there was a big move into "advertainment", i.e. using video games to push products, it didn't require much of a leap of imagination as far as game design and programming teams were concerned.
In a number of ways, McDonaldland, or M.C. Kids outside of Europe, was a simple property to adapt. There is a McDonald's mythos that could be drawn upon (yes, really) with its characters, locations, goodies and baddies. On the side of the angel was cheery old Ronald McDonald himself, and evil was personified in the dreaded Hamburgler. Folks of a certain age, like me, might remember the latter and some of the others, like Grimace, from the ads that ran on British telly in the 1980s. I still have nightmares about the garish McDonald world mural that once decorated the upstairs wall of its Derby branch. Anyway, this is fodder enough to wrap a game around. The plot, such as it is, sees Ronald McDonald approach Mick and Mack, your avatars, for their/your help in retrieving his magic bag from Hamburgler. And how do you do this? By making you way through some 30 levels of platforming action, if course. At first glance this seems little different from the bulk of NES games, which was the home for the platformer at the time. However, McDonaldland is a superlative example of the genre. Each "world" opens out in an overhead map, and you enter the levels in any desired order, Mario III/Mario World-stylee. The aim in each is to find a card. Get at least five cards and you progress to the next world. Get all the secret cards scattered across the game and you can enter a hidden, bonus world. Simple, right? No. Each level is fairly small but it quickly becomes apparent that there are secret areas aplenty. Sometimes these are hinted at, like the bottom of a platform outside of jumping range, or some goodies that can be seen under your feet. The fiendishness of the design challenges you to find a way to get them. For example, very close to the starting position in the very first level there is a spring. Strung out above it is a line of collectible golden arches (get 100 and you'll enter the bonus stage). You jump on and shoot upwards ... only to find two more are out of reach. How do you get them? Straight away the game is taxing your brain to think about how to get to seemingly inaccessible parts. The answers soon present themselves in a number of very interesting gameplay mechanics. The one most often noted in the discussions of this game is the gravity flip. This wasn't anything new in and of itself - Castle of Illusion and Fantasy World Dizzy used this trick well before its employment here, but reversing gravity is integral to a number of stages. The very final level, for instance, cannot be done if you don't muck about with Newtonian mechanics. Basically, you've learned where the platforms and obstacles are one way but you have to reposition them all again in your mind. Being methodical and careful here is the best way of overcoming it. There is also a moon level with lower gravity, rendering small jumps quite tricky to perform. Also key to the game is the lifting mechanic. Again, other platform games had done this by this point - most famously (notoriously) Super Mario Bros II - and here you too pick up stuff to lob at enemies. Later on, however, you get to pick up boats as well as floats that allow for the navigation of lakes of lava. This can lead to very tricky jiggery-pokery as you try and grab one box while throwing your boat or float so you can make an immediate jump for it. You'll die, you'll die lots. But for some reason it never gets frustrating.
That said, this perhaps is the only gameplay criticism I can make. McDonaldland isn't hard, but it does require practice, and some of the ways of getting through a level are downright fiendish. Perfect run up jumps, measuring out every single pixel to make a leap, throwing yourself blind into thin air and chasms and hoping you'll land on something. I wouldn't describe this as cheap. After all, back then gaming conventions were different, but completing the game requires mastery of its mechanics. For that reason it's a test for even seasoned players. Clearly it was designed with this in mind - the controls and collision detection are spot on, the layout is thoughtful and demands the player exercises nous. This was obviously devised by folks into the genre and wanting to offer something that appears like a standard platformer but unveils its wizardry, and their virtuosity, the more you get into it. Perhaps this was their way of cocking a snook at the licensed material, or at the disdain game magazines would have approached it from the off. A quick note about the sound track too - it is easily one of the most accomplished to have issued forth from a NES and sounds more like a C64 game than anything else. Alas, it being too good is perhaps one of the reasons why McDonaldland has lain in obscurity when less accomplished platformers are oft fondly remembered. Writing four years after the game's release, Gregg Tavares, a member of the programming team, said he was disappointed at the game's reception. Originally McDonald's were going to advertise it for a month on its Happy Meals packaging, which certainly would have given it a massive sales boost. But they did not. Instead the contemporaneous Mick and Mack: Global Gladiators (also published by Virgin in North America) got the big promos. This game was not as good nor had as many original features. Then why did McDonald's shovel it into the bin? I would suggest it comes down to corporate image. McDonaldland is good, very playable, but too tough for the younger kids who would buy it. Do you, for instance, know many 10, 11, 12 year olds who have a Happy Meal when they go for a Maccy's? But secondly and more importantly, Global Gladiators fit in with McDonald's corporate rebranding strategy. In the late 80s it was revealed that rain forest in South America were being felled to make way for beef herds that supplied McDonald's. Alongside their very environmentally unfriendly packaging, a panicked McDonald's went about green washing everything about them - something they continue to do until this day. Re: the games, in McDonaldland you're trying to retrieve some magical tat. In Global Gladiators, your folks are action platforming with Big Ron to defeat pollution and save the planet. If you wanted to improve your corporate image, which of the two would you push big? McDonaldland then owes its obscurity due to its being victim to corporate politics. And that is a shame. Despite its cringeworthy premise, it does deserve rescuing from the condescension of posterity and appreciated for what it is: a well thought-out, well made, crafty platformer.
Sounds like a dream, doesn't it. Boris Johnson assumes the leadership of the Tory party in some sort of contest and two dozen or so Conservative MPs immediately announce their resignation. With them they take the blessings of Dave and George Osborne and a few thousand liberal-leaning activists the Tories can ill-afford to lose. Is this a far fetched scenario? For all the media obsession with Labour and the talk of a new centre party, the likelihood of that erupting from the right is something seldom considered. What are the chances? There are a couple of things strongly in its favour, and a couple of others that act as significant barriers. The first are statements of intent from MPs. Unlike their Labour counterparts who skulk around in the shadows, a number of Tories have been open about how they wouldn't countenance being in a party led by Boris Johnson. Dominic Grieve came out recently and said this, and Woke Soobz has on a number of occasions. Nicky Morgan, Amber Rudd and Justine Greening have, for their part, vociferously and publicly barracked Johnson on occasion as well. Whether they would do the do, however, is another matter. We heard hard words over the Brexit votes in the Commons and avowed rebels too often rebelled against their own rebellion. Therefore we should take it as talk, but the fact this talk is open isn't without significance. The second is, at first glance, the Tory vote appears to be a touch more fractious than the Labour vote. We saw how UKIP was able to successfully bleed away support off the back of Dave's social liberalism. He was able to re-win some of them with his EU referendum pledge, but what really saved his bacon were the Liberal Democrats volunteering themselves as sacrificial lambs. Why vote for a centre right, pro-market liberal party famed for ditching key pledges when Dave and his slick PR machine offered more of the real deal? The unexpected 2015 majority was only possible because the Tories filleted them like, well, a kipper. Now, where did these voters go in 2017? Very good question. This liberal Tory vote is not massive, but it is well distributed in the marginals and can make the difference precisely because of this. It didn't drift back to the yellow team, whose vote declined between the two contests. So for my money this liberal Tory vote saw a little bit of drift to Labour, but most would likely have stuck with the Tories. Why? Because the one nationism Theresa May made a big play of did have something that recommended itself to centre-leaning voters. i.e. A Sense of national community, a feeling of place, fairness, an end to social conflict, and pledges to tackle long-standing social ills. It's difficult to recall now, but in her imperial phase she did consciously sell herself as the Mother of the Nation. Since her bungling of the general election and the Brexit shambles since, this vote might be game for moving if a slick centre Tory outfit was available, especially as Johnson with his opportunism, dishonesty, and racism isn't quite their cup of tea. So there are MPs, there's a modest sized constituency. There's a possibility some lash up with the LibDems could see them take back more former liberal seats, and it would no doubt flush out the centre party enthusiasts from Labour as well. The problem is this isn't enough. Assuming they want to hold on to their seats, centrist Tories have the same difficulty as their counterparts in Labour. Few, if any, were elected on their own merits. When you look at this wing of the party only Ken Clarke has (some) recognition beyond Westminster and could possibly win his own seat on his own merits. The rest? Not a chance. They got in because they were the Conservative candidate, not because they're super amazing. The second difficulty is closure of the political opportunities that benefited UKIP. Yes, there is a possibility a new centre right party would score big in the media. I'm very sure it would with its leading lights plastered all over our TV screens, and centrist celebs like Brian Cox and JK Rowling might be persuaded to endorse. But with Brexit and no European elections every five years, they would have to rely on by-elections and local election contests for proof of political efficacy. The latter are not good for an untried and untested force - especially when they wouldn't have the numbers to field a serious challenge. And by-elections? What by-elections? We've had two - West Tyrone and Lewisham East - since the general election, so these can't be relied on to make a splash. The other - major - difficulty can't be wished away either. Politics has changed. There is not one, but two mainstreams. There is one large voter bloc who disproportionately respond to fear and scapegoating of minorities, be they racialised (Muslims, East Europeans, black people) or dehumanised (people on benefits. The spare-the-rod, spoil-the-child and school of hard knocks nonsense is the stuff of a generational identification between them and the Tories. And don't forget the economic base of all this either. The other mainstreams is characterised by housing shortages, austerity, jobs, pay, security and prospects, and climate change. The Tories have got about 40% of the vote. It's in long-term decline, not least because the old property-based conservatising effects of old age is diminishing, but they are likelier to turn out to vote. The Labour vote, again 40%, is younger and overwhelmingly works. It's on a growth trajectory, which means unless the Tories figure out how to appeal to this mainstream they will find it progressively more difficult to win elections. The political problem for centre Tories is the same as your Chris Leslies and your Liz Kendalls. They have no way of relating to either of these camps. A lovely stroll in the summer sun can fool them into thinking there is a base for their politics, but beyond what's already knocking about the LibDems and the liberal Tory vote, there's not much at all. That isn't necessarily a bad thing if you're trying to rebuild the LibDems, but it is if you're a parliamentarian and would like to stay a parliamentarian. Could Boris Johnson split the Tories? In the event of his becoming leader, it is very unlikely. Those who are older and can't stomach him have retirement and a reserved sinecure in the Lords to look forward to, and those who are younger will batten down the hatches and wait for better times. However, if Johnson was kept off any upcoming leadership ballot thanks to shenanigans in the Westminster party then that, oh yes, that could get very interesting ...
No time for a blog tonight, so here's my old mucker Ed Rooksby talking about different kinds of reformism, the experience of Chile and Syriza in Greece, and what role - if any - governmental power can play in the transition from a capitalist to a socialist society. It just so happens Ed is currently writing a book on this very topic as well. The interview is from Alex Doherty at Politics Theory Other. Don't forget to follow the show on Twitter, check out the Patreon page and throw them a like of Facebook.
It's generally advised to take the Daily Express's coverage of matters political with the seriousness of their weather forecasts. And yet their big splash today, 'Furious MPs vow to 'COLLAPSE' leadership at SECRET MEETINGS' is worth a look, even if just to laugh at the dramatic capitalisation. At a series of "away days", 12 "senior" Labour MPs have been yapping about their favourite topic - a new centre party - and strategising a way for them to take back the party. Because it's their party, after all. Who are these people? Name checked are all the people who you would expect. Liz Kendall, Chuka Umunna, Chris Leslie, Gavin Shuker, Stephen Kinnock and, before he threw himself out of the window, John Woodcock. A proper roll call of the finest brains (well, in fact, the only brains) possessed by the Labour-in-name-only brigade, the cream of the crop of the four-and-a-half per cent'ers. Their cunning plan? Well, there's a bit of confusion. Inbetween the Express telling us what a lovely retreat Fair Oak Farm is ("£144/night ... wonderful gardens"), we see a mangled jostling of strategies One is about waiting for Jeremy Corbyn's leadership to collapse, and then step in and lead the party. Just like that. Another is to wait until Labour wins an election and then separate themselves off, torpedoing the prospect of a Labour government. Just like I said the other day, the left either takes them out now or we allow them to come at us when the power lies with them. And here they are confirming the point. From here they will hook up with remain Tories and the LibDems and presumably make waves with their new party. Though they cannot decide whether to hang on or launch sooner rather than later, to be a go-er before the election so they can build name recognition. Given their hapless confusionism, perhaps they'll take my advice? If any of you are reading this, please, please choose a name like Jolyon Maugham's 'Spring' or something suitably dynamic and progressive-sounding. 'Forward, Not Back' jumps to mind. Also get Blair to front it up - that will work a reet treat. Later on in the piece, Chris Leslie admits the meetings have taken place but Jeremy Corbyn "didn't feature in the discussions". Of course he didn't, which only adds to an air of unreality about these proceedings. If you cast your minds back a year ago when despairing Blairist MPs thought it was game over, we had the first serious floating of a new centre party. And what a floater it was. Of the five issues such a party would have - the need for money, members, political space, a constituency, and a motive for fed up MPs to quit - only one has been resolved. And that would be the easiest one: money. Simon Franks is the bourgeois booby with more money than sense and has underwritten the project to the tune of £50m. I'm sure another billionaire-backed vanity project will go down a storm on the doorsteps. What is interesting though is how there are no new names involved, and from the 10-20 MPs Margaret Hodge was threatening to take out of the party a few days ago we're now looking at about a dozen, notwithstanding our unnamed correspondent's insistence that more are involved. Still, and this is worth remembering, there are enduring divisions on the Labour right. The MPs and activists most closely associated with Labour First are mostly of the view that you stay and fight. Perversely enough they take inspiration from the Labour left, who clung on to the party throughout the decades of its diminishing influence only to eventually score big. If it can happen to them, surely the pendulum will swing our way again in time, at least so goes the thinking. So the job is to batten down the hatches, protect existing positions of influence, win selections, and undermine the leadership when occasion (and factional advantage) demands. It can be grandstanding and stirring as per the anti-semitism crisis, and it can be petulent and childish such as the loud talking and prima-donna behaviours at the community organising team's briefing of the PLP a few weeks ago. Also, it's worth noting that within Labour First's allies of convenience, Progress, they too are mostly signed up to this strategy. For every Chuka there's a Wes Streeting, the kind of Blairist MP who does have some loyalty to an abstract notion of Labour and cannot see the viability of an existence outside. I would go so far to say this is the majority view of Progress as well. Besides, were they to decamp, 2,500 members and a glossy magazine wouldn't be much of a boon to a new centrist formation - despite the headlines that would herald it as a significant blow to Jeremy Corbyn's Labour. The huddle of MPs desperate for a new party are actually marginalised vis a vis their natural allies in the PLP. And if that wasn't bad enough, they are to a man and woman the most singular mediocrities. Chris Leslie with his absurd manifesto and Liz Kendall who knows nothing about the party whose benches she sits on. With folks of such calibre leading the charge it begs a brutal but honest question: how can they hope to succeed?
I expect not many readers have time for Baroness Sayeeda Warsi, especially as she was happy to front up the most appalling policies of Dave's ancien regime. But her repeated criticisms of Islamophobia deserve attention because, well, the attention is lacking. The press are uninterested, and no Tory has broken cover to attack their party in the vociferous terms we find across the chamber. Quite the opposite - we see Boris Johnson going overboard with his ever-so-funny characterisation of burqa-wearing Muslim women as letter boxes. There is nothing from the party, nothing. Not even Sajid Javid, the most senior Muslim in the government, has said anything. All in all it's outrageous and disgusting. But why are they totally uninterested in doing anything about it? In the day-to-day of politics, the Tories can expect to get little grief from the press. Apart from The Graun and perhaps The Mirror and Indy, who's going to hold Johnson and his rancid views to account? House journals like The Spectator and the party's Fleet Street branches aren't about to make a song and dance. Especially when they indulge Islamophobic scaremongering themselves and employ columnists to the same effect. Why call out the Tories when doing so is a) hypocritical and b) shines a spotlight on the press's own shitty behaviour? Being Tory and being Islamophobic then is well within the zone of non-punishment, which is where politicians want to be. Islamophobia, which has always been a cover for being racist toward Asians, is an acceptable racism as far as the right wing establishment is concerned. It goes without saying there has always been a racist streak in the Tory Party. It is the party most indelibly marked by Britain's history of empire, and it never entirely shed its imperialist superiority complex a t the time Britain divested its colonial possessions. This has manifested in a subculture of Tory MPs for whom racism (and Islamophobia) is ideological glue, an episodic occasion for populist rabble-rousing, and a means of currying favour among the yellowing grass roots. The opportunist racism of a Johnson, the hob-nobbing with Steve Bannon by Gove and Rees-mogg, the banter and larfs of Aiden Burley's mate's Nazi stag do, the foaming Tiber of Enoch Powell's fevered imaginings, the crude racism of Winston Churchill. The Monday Club, the links with fascists, loyalists and far right military figures, the lineage is a rotten one, a shaming one. And, appallingly, one that isn't dead. This was something Dave and Osborne understood and tried stowing under the stairs, but their pains at embedding social liberalism came to nought. A veneer for electoral convenience is what it turned out to be, the bare minimum necessary so the Tories didn't look hopelessly out of touch with an increasingly socially liberal society. How else to explain Dave's hands-off, chillaxed approach to Zac Goldsmith's London mayoral campaign which, you will recall, relied on Islamophobia and terrorist dog whistles. And how easily it was all swept aside once Theresa May assumed office. Which brings us to the other reason why the Tories won't deal with Islamophobia. Because it suits them. Political parties don't stand apart from the rest of society. Its prejudices are bound to appear and find some political expression in parties, though this doesn't happen evenly - it all depends on the communities of interest parties articulate and condense. For instance, one reason why all racism, including anti-semitism, is less prevalent in Labour than the Tories is because its political power rests upon the core of the organised workers' movement. Or, to put it in plain language, solidarity. It's been a hard road but over the course of this last century the labour movement has tackled racism in its own ranks, not least because racism cuts against the collective organisation of our power. The Tories, however, are a reactive outfit. They are an organisation of ruling interests for ruling interests, and are the natural inheritors of Britain's long history of managing large populations. Their tried and trusted method, at least in domestic politics, is fear-mongering. And when does this work best? When they have scapegoating - the ideal ingredients for a spot of divide-and-rule. The truth is Islamophobia works as part of an electoral strategy. Not with everyone, of course, but recent polling suggests 40% of the populace harbour some kind of suspicion toward Muslims. For the Tories, beleaguered by Brexit and relying on older voters, they need something to stop their diminishing electoral coalition from falling apart further. Islamophobia is a handy lever to pull on in such times. For the would-be kippers flirting with, um, the kippers, a few racist comments from leading Tories is, the likes of Johnson hope, enough to let them know he is thinking what they are thinking. But this is far from the preserve of a few mavericks , the party as a whole benefits. You might be a nice liberal Tory in a leafy shire appalled by the pack of gammon who congregate at the association meetings, but you will stay quiet because they deliver your leaflets, and as far as you know are representative of the constituency. This ultimately is why the Tories won't do anything to address Islamophobia. Because it's too useful.
