This quarter 91,787 votes were cast in 51 local authority contests. All percentages are rounded to the nearest single decimal place. 24 council seats changed hands. For comparison you can view Quarter Four's results here.
Party
|
Number of Candidates
|
Total Vote
|
%
|
+/- Q4
|
+/- Q1 2024
|
Avge/
Contest |
+/-
Seats |
Conservative
|
50
| 20,275 |
22.1%
| -2.7 |
-5.1
|
406
|
0
|
Labour
|
46
| 20,090 |
21.9%
| -1.7 |
-2.2
| 437
|
-11
|
Lib Dem
|
46
| 16,344
|
17.8%
| -1.7 |
-8.9
|
355
|
-2
|
Reform*
|
48
| 15,339
|
16.7%
| +8.2 |
+16.3
|
320
|
+5
|
Green
|
40
| 7,009
|
7.6%
| -1.1
|
-0.8
|
175
|
0
|
SNP**
|
7
| 6,069 |
6.6%
| -1.2 |
+3.4
| 867
|
+3
|
PC***
|
1
| 397 |
0.4%
| -0.3 |
-0.7
| 397
|
0
|
Ind****
|
20
| 5,185 |
5.6%
|
-2.4
|
259
|
+5
| |
Other*****
|
18
|
1.2%
| -0.8 |
-0.1
|
60
|
0 |
* Reform's comparison results for 2024 are based on recomputing their tallies in Others over the respective quarter
** There were eight by-elections in Scotland
*** There were four by-elections in Wales
**** There were four Independent clashes
***** Others this quarter were Alba (135, 63), Christian People's Alliance (14), Gwlad (14, 3), Heritage (21, 12), Putting Cumbria First (76), Rejoin EU (114, 68), Scottish Family Party (65), Scottish Socialist Party (271), SDP (69, 14), Sovereignty (18), TUSC (52), UKIP (41, 24)
The vote shares here closely mirror March's by-election results, and by and large the same comments apply. Labour is losing councillors like they're going out of fashion, though their candidates on the whole perform better than everyone else's. The rise of Reform has dented all standings, but even so they're under performing pollsters' estimates. But also Labour's duff start to government has seen the SNP recoup lost ground at their expense too. Is it too early to forecast another SNP administration and a 2015/19-style wipe out at the next election?
Now's a good time to mention the side project - what's happening to Independents and whether they will suffer from the coming of Reform. And the picture from these results is mixed. They're up five councillors and have won more votes than the previous quarter. But support is down on this quarter last year, and they fielded fewer candidates; 20 this year versus 34 last year and 31 the year before. Something to keep an eye on and we'll revisit this at the end of June.
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