Tuesday, 18 March 2025

Cruelty is the Point

For a couple of weeks we've been treated to a tug-of-war of rival briefings. The Treasury initially said it was going to cut disability benefits to support rearmament measures, followed by another slew of on-the-record announcements that peeling back social security had a "moral case". Then last weekend the press was awash with claims of disquiet in the cabinet over putative cuts, which encompassed soft left and Starmer loyalists alike. It held out the possibility of a rethink ... and then we got Tuesday's announcement of cuts to disability support in the Commons.

Liz Kendall, the DWP secretary, gave a speech that might as well have been written for Iain Duncan Smith during his inglorious tenure. There was no substantive difference at all. Kendall's announcement that the hated Work Capability Assessment would be scrapped and Personal Independence Payments would not be means tested was a sliver of carrot before a battering with a very big stick. There's going to be a rejigging of the PIPs points system, pretty much ensuring only those with the most severe and debilitating impairments will receive state support. Extra Universal Credit payments awarded to those living with disabilities or difficult health conditions are going to find them frozen for four years, while new applicants can look forward to receiving just half of this additional support. If someone is under the age of 22, they will lose eligibility to apply for this health element of UC altogether.

The consequences of these few measures will be catastrophic. About a million people will lose thousands of pounds a year, which would - from Kendall's point of view - lead to the perverse outcome of some giving up employment precisely because the present level of support enable them to keep working. And as for the new points system that will govern PIPs, this is surely a recipe for a skyscraper full of appeals as hundreds of thousands of people are wrongly judged not to be debilitated enough. Which is exactly what happened with the WCA.

For a week, we've heard how no Labour politician entered politics to cut welfare (a woeful and inaccurate representation of those on the Labour right, at least), so why put the boot into the poorest and most vulnerable? On the one hand, they think sticking to Rachel Reeves's strait jacket will win over hard right Reform-curious voters still taking their political cues from Sun editorials. As per Labour's dalliances with racist positioning it won't work. But, for as long as the left refuses to get its act together while the Greens struggle to cut through, electoral punishment isn't immediately in the offing. Only concerted opposition from the unions, rebellion-minded Labour MPs, and the extra-parliamentary movements of the disabled themselves acting in conjunction can force the government to think again.

But we need to be absolutely clear why this is happening. It has nothing to do with a "£5bn saving". If it was there might be some more honesty around framing the issue, rather than the tedious combination of "we're the party of work/benefits are keeping disabled people out of work." No, what we are seeing is a scapegoating operation providing cover for employer failings. For it's not welfare that "traps" claimants, but employer attitudes around availability, flexibility, and reliability of workers with impairments and chronic conditions. Their "rather not" attitude to making reasonable adjustments, or accommodating workers who require a bit more support might force an employer to modify ways of working and, horror of horrors, negotiate with employees over better and inclusive working conditions for all. Blaming benefits, not bosses gets the latter off the hook. And the second comes back to maintaining the social workhouse, the apparatus of bureaucratic loopholes, harassments, and humiliations whose affect is to discipline class relations by making "alternatives" to compulsory work as undesirable and as stigmatising as possible.

Kendall's remodelling of social security is set to punish the ill and the disabled for not being healthy and/or able-bodied. This is a continuation of Conservative cruelty, and that is entirely the point.

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Saturday, 15 March 2025

Labour's Enthusiasm for Artificial Intelligence

30,000 jobs are set to disappear with the closure of NHS England and its merging with the Department of Health and Social Care. Echoing the Tories, tens of thousands of civil service jobs are on the chopping block. And this planned massacre of livelihoods were presided over by a grinning Keir Starmer and Wes Streeting and presented to the media as unalloyed goods. This is set to cut down on duplication and save lots of money (£45bn, apparently). But something else is also on the cards: the replacement of jobs by Artificial Intelligence. In his enthusiasm at the prospects of jobless service provision, Starmer gushed that "No person’s time should be spent on a task where digital or AI can do it better, quicker and to the same high quality and standard."

This is the umpteenth speech in which the Labour leadership have espoused their enthusiasm for AI. For Starmer and his project of authoritarian modernisation, the technocratic attractions are obvious. A state that is neither bigger or smaller but works better is enticing, particularly when previous attempts at digitisation have been hit by delays and costly failures. Those long in the tooth will recall efforts at harmonising the NHS's IT systems, and the huge problems rolling out Universal Credit encountered. But the prize is the speeding up of the state's mundane activities, like answering HMRC inquiries and sorting out driving licences quickly. AI is part of Starmerism's answer to the crisis of government legitimacy. If the bureaucracy can be automated and the discharge of its functions be made as rapid as placing and receiving an Amazon order, belief in the efficacy of government and, possibly, the standing of politics could improve - to Labour's benefit. If only people could forget about winter fuel cuts.

Those are the good reasons. What are the real reasons? The PCS response argues that new innovations should be introduced and embedded in cooperation with staff and be used to enhance working conditions and job security. A position likely to have gone in one ear and out the other. This is because AI's promise speaks to the dominant pole of (right wing) Labourism: its relation to "working people" not as working people, but something far more passive and politically innocuous: as consumers. The ultimate aim is impeccably Blairite: the depoliticisation of politics, and the reduction of choice between the parties that offer the best value, best quality services. This alignment with Labourist assumptions is more a coincidence of congruence. As ever, it comes down to interests.

On plenty of occasions, Starmer has staked out his intention to transform the UK into an AI superpower. This does involve infrastructure like building the first reservoir for 30 years, which handily is earmarked for land not far from the planned expansion of data centres in Cambridgeshire. But more importantly, he's leveraging the state as the anchor customer for AI services and innovation. There is nothing particularly innovative about this. In the Blair years outsourcing, Public-Private Partnerships, PFIs, etc. were used to provide guaranteed markets for everything from cleaning companies to construction firms. The aspiration was to tie the interests of those firms to the largesse of New Labour ministers, thereby expanding the party's base among capital's exalted circles. When the crash came and Gordon Brown's government became a busted flush, they were happy to carry on accepting these sorts of contracts while transferring their allegiance to the incoming Conservatives - who continued with the same practice. Streeting's love-ins with far right tech oligarch Peter Thiel, the enthusiasm for using AI in patient-facing interactions, and the endless promises of using the private sector to "help" with the NHS are part of the same piece. This is the mood music designed to entice Silicon Valley and giving them a stake in the British state, while generating a home grown ecology of expertise around innovation and application. Something that could have the happy by-product down the line of sheltering the UK from Trump's tariffs, and making Labour - on paper, the political antipode to their brand of freakish authoritarianism - their preferred political partner this side of the Atlantic.

Everyone wins, right? No. Supposing AI can fulfill the grandiose claims made for it, the British state is being used as a test bed for, to borrow a recent phrase, feeding jobs into the wood chipper. The purpose of generative AI is not to make things more efficient, but to deskill and digitise as many of the properties of immaterial labour that are feasible. I.e. The social competencies that capital accumulation increasingly depends on can, after a fashion, now be separated from workers and therefore tip the balance of forces further away from labour. To all intents and purposes, as per previous waves of automation what the government are promoting is a power grab at capital's behest. If these schemes are successful, the next targets are millions of jobs across private industry for the benefit of shareholders. And Labour ministers who fancy themselves as future consultants on implementing AI "solutions" in large organisations when they're done with politics. Just like the Thatcher years, Britain could pioneer a new class settlement. And just like the 1980s, unless the left and the labour movement gets its act together it will be our class who loses.

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Friday, 14 March 2025

The Ultimate Philosophical SF Novel

I haven't shuffled off my mortal coil. Things have been very busy, and I've spent tonight editing a chapter instead of blogging. But in case you're one of the handful of people who looks forward to regular postings, normal service should resume shortly.

That makes this a perfect occasion for some quality filler. This one comes from Stephen E Andrews AKA The Outlaw Bookseller, and he's talking about one of his favourite ever novels. Give it a whirl.

Sunday, 9 March 2025

Human Folly in The Wind from Nowhere

His first novel, The Wind from Nowhere, was disowned by JG Ballard during his life time and remains suppressed by his estate. There have been no new printings since the 1970s, despite its being recognised as the first of his thematic quartet of disaster novels. Quite why when it stands up to contemporaneous fare from John Wyndham and John Christopher can only be guessed at. Perhaps the circumstances of its composition irked Ballard. He had to produce this to make enough money so he could write the novel he wanted to write, which was The Drowned World. Did he regard it as necessary hack work to put food on the table? Or could it be that he saw flaws in it that only a meticulous obsession with detail and style would reveal? Whatever the case, The Wind from Nowhere is a debut worth anyone's time.

In the best traditions of show-not-tell, the Earth is wrapped in the envelope of a globe-spanning hurricane. No one knows why except everywhere is affected. The wind tapers off toward the poles, but its strength defies all meteorological projections and keeps getting stronger. Cities are smashed to pieces, free standing structures pulverised, and movement on the surface is virtually impossible. A dank future of survival underground scrapping over diminishing supplies awaits those who survived the wind.

The intertwining plots don't require much elaboration. Characters struggle across the storm-lashed landscape, fall in with a murky private army, and end up holed up in a vast, wind-proof pyramid-cum-Bond-villain-lair. The huge glass walls might be able to stand up to the increasing force pushing against it, but can the same be said for its sandy foundations?

For a first novel, all the Ballardian elements are present. A lot of the action take place in the liminal spaces of modern life - elevator shafts, tunnels, cellars. These back rooms that make everyday life possible quickly become the only spaces for survival. And because this is a Ballard, there are flying chunks of masonry, broken glass, cracking and crumbling concrete, power cables that dance in the wind, and human bodies pummelled, hurled, and dashed against collapsed buildings or whisked off into nothingness. There is some distance between this and the later Ballard of the urban trilogy, and above all Crash, but the familiar flavourings are present.

Also present in embryo is the decentering of the human (of humanism). The subjectivity, the agency of people only exists in relation to one another. As indifferent as the wind is, there's also the uncertainty about its origins. Might it be a Frankenstein's monster, an unintended consequence of modernity as per The Drought or the reversion to barbarism in High-Rise and Super-Cannes? The helplessness in the face of a hostile universe of reinforced by the fate of the glass pyramid and its architect, the partially deranged industrialist Hardoon. Sat behind impossibly thick blocks and having gathered around him a private army, he confounds expectations by refusing to accept the role of a megalomaniac who would rule a post-disaster Britain. His motivations for building the pyramid was to show the primacy of the will over the nature, a defiant middle finger that would easily withstand whatever wind speeds his cyclonic nemesis can throw. It is inevitably a foolish conceit and soon collapses, with our heroes just about surviving and realising that, as the glass falls from the sky, that the wind is abating of its own accord. Another underlining of the self-centred fruitlessness of human agency. The glimmer of hope comes regardless of what we did and didn't do.

Despite Ballard disowning The Wind from Nowhere, it sits in his oeuvre like a hand in a leather driving glove. It remains a superb and accomplished exemplar of the English disaster novel, and one that deserves a reissue.

Wednesday, 5 March 2025

Labour and the Social Workhouse

Is Kemi Badenoch the Prime Minister? I ask because last week prior to Keir Starmer's announcement about increasing military spending, the Leader of the Opposition said it should be part-funded by cuts to social security. And on Wednesday, the BBC was leading with news from "sources" that this is exactly what Rachel Reeves plans to do.

It could be this is more muddying of the water. The government's comms haven't exactly been on point, and "anonymous" downbeat briefings have been made in the past that came to nothing. But in this case, I don't think so. The contempt Reeves has for those subsisting on social security has been known for a decade, since she said Labour doesn't want to represent people who are out of work. Readers will recall that, as Chancellor, Reeves has followed it up with stripping away winter fuel payments and keeping the two child benefit cap. Before Trump came back, there have long been mutterings about doing something about the benefits bill, with disabled people and the long-term sick in the crosshairs.

The way this is being presented is typical of a government drenched in dishonesty. In April last year, 1.5m people reported inconveniences associated with long Covid and a further 381,000 said their day-to-day activities had been limited a lot. A good chunk of whom would be in receipt of sickness benefits. Another gift of Covid and the preceding government's lack of seriousness has been the co-morbidities arising from infection. Susceptibility to auto-immune diseases, cancers, heart disease, respiratory conditions, and more are well known and are exacting a toll from a population that have contracted it many times. These too are adding to the sickness bill. But the most common problems are musculoskeletal conditions to the point of debilitation, and mental illness. We never hear about what's driving these, perhaps because it raises inconvenient questions.

Politicians know some ill and disabled people are unsuitable for work and that the overwhelming majority on sickness and disability benefits are there precisely because of that. Which is why the Tories are past masters at scapegoating them by tarring them with the scrounger/skiver brush. Labour are not so crude, prefer to say the system isn't working for them, and is creating "perverse incentives" to stay away from work. But the effect is the same: the delegitimation of the long-term sick, a denial that their system chews up and spits out broken bodies and damaged minds, and has no further use for them.

The Italian autonomists used to talk about the social factory in which every occupation, including unpaid domestic labour, reproduced the system and were therefore productive of capital. Perhaps we should think about the social workhouse, which is productive of stigma, fear, and forcing unwell people into work. This isn't primarily to make money out of the disabled and the ill, but to reinforce the discipline wage labour depends on. Clamping down on benefits is Labour's way of telling their bourgeois backers that the management of class relations is safe with them.

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Tuesday, 4 March 2025

Rumpus on the Right

Associating a right wing political project with Donald Trump is a risky move. Though you can't say Nigel Farage wasn't warned. There was a four-year record of chaos available for review, well-telegraphed statements of intent, and before he took office Trump's unprecedented and stupid attacks on friendly nations and allies. And now that transatlantic alliance, which has bitten Farage once is back to tear off a larger chunk.

Following the double-team ambush of Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Saturday, the latest entertainment from the White House include suspending military aid to Ukraine, and JD Vance attacking "random countries" (i.e. Europeans) for not having fought a war for 40 years. The latter, of course, is in poor taste considering personnel from almost every NATO member died needlessly in the occupation of Afghanistan. Fewer countries were in Iraq, but the losses were by no means insignificant. And as for Ukraine, its case against Russia is almost sacrosanct as mainstream politics and public opinion goes. Woe betide anyone who sets their face against this.

Farage is having a go, mind. Josh has done a good job listing his recent compromising utterances. These include criticising Zelenskyy for being "rude" in the White House, excusing Trump's treatment of the visiting leader, and supporting the pathetic question about his attire lacking "respect". There was also his suggestion Ukraine was a uniquely corrupt country, admitting he was not a "huge fan". Whether Farage is actually in the pocket of the Kremlin or not is a moot point. Like Trump, he acts as though he is.

Might this dent the (resistible) rise of Reform? As Josh rightly notes, like all far right outfits there is an inherent instability to the project. The evidence is there in the waxing and the waning of its continental counterparts (who, unfortunately, are on the up), and the history of UKIP had similar peaks and troughs. Farage knows this better than most given the dozen or so times he quit as the party's leader, which is why he ensured the Brexit Party and now Reform were private companies he was the majority shareholder of. As noisy the internal life of the party might be, he can never be challenged because it's his personal, private property. So if the combination of Trump's colourful behaviour and Labour's adoption of military Keynesianism does chip away at Reform's polling, Farage is safe in his manor.

Safe, but politically vulnerable. Vladimir Putin has become a bruise on Reform Labour wants to, and is, punching. Yet this is an opportunity for someone else too. Typically languishing third in the polls and desperately looking for a way back into contention, this is an opportunity to turn the tables on Reform. After all, it was a Tory Prime Minister who was enthusiastic about sending weapons to Ukraine and was critical in persuading Washington to do likewise. Under the Liz Truss interlude and Rishi Sunak, the arms kept making their way to the front lines and there was no suggestion of letting Kyiv roll over. And like Labour, they have tried to capitalise on the moment. At the weekend, Robert Jenrick put out a release condemning the behaviour of Trump and Vance in the strongest terms. Priti Patel has attacked Farage for equivocating on Russia's invasion. The goal is not just open, it's begging the Tories to score against Reform.

Sadly for them, it's Kemi Badenoch in the striker's position. After mildly criticising the Americans at the weekend, she was today making excuses for Vance's comments. The Tory leader said "I've looked at the comments. I don't think he actually said that. A lot of people are getting carried away." Her weak apology meant that Farage, putting self-preservation first, was able to get out a stronger statement that demonstrated a better understanding of how the politics of Vance's comments would land on the right. Instead of Farage looking vulnerable, it was Badenoch. He used the situation to mount a successful rear guard action. The Tory leader completely blew it.

Yes, Reform and their ilk are volatile parties with Russia-sized weak spots. But when the Tory leader is reluctant to get involved in the rumpus to save her party, probability suggests her time at the helm will be short.

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Sunday, 2 March 2025

Cuddling the Russian Bear

Following the "great television" of Donald Trump and JD Vance berating Volodymyr Zelenskyy in public, the Kremlin have said the new foreign policy positions of the United State largely aligns with theirs. But this begs the question, how has this come to be? From the end of the Cold War up until Trump's re-election, the settled position of the US has been to contain Russia. As the only power that can presently face down the Pentagon thanks to its huge stocks of nuclear weapons and capacity to turn the US homeland into glass, keeping it strategically boxed in tried ensuring it was never in a position to challenge the unipolar world worked out in the Project for a New American Century.

Why the break from this and the spurning of traditional allies? Why does Trump want to cuddle the Russian bear? The theatrics of the last month are overkill if it was all a crafty move to get European governments to cough up more on military spending. Ditto if it's just for domestic consumption too. Some Trump voters will be amused, the majority bemused, and for nearly all of them they're secondary considerations to the cost of living crisis - a key reason why they put him back in the White House. Nor are the intelligence reports that compromises Trump in all sorts of ways. As head of the most powerful military and intelligence capability the world has ever seen, in a sharply divided America front page splashes about Russian money and grim-sounding sex tapes would make little difference where Trump's support is concerned.

The more compelling answer lies in divisions within the American establishment about the strategic orientation their state should have in the 21st century. The shifting economic centre of gravity towards East Asia coupled with the long-term demographic decline of Europe's wealthy markets provides a compelling case for orienting away from the Atlantic to the Pacific. Something that Britain has tried doing too. But this is not just about where the new profitable opportunities lie. Under Barack Obama, the US downgraded Russia as a rival and therefore European states as clients as they switched attention to the strategic challenge of China. During the 2007-8 stock market cataclysm, the US was weakened by its indebtedness to Beijing, and while the winds of recession blew through Western economies China only grew more, and kept on growing. Over the last decade, Chinese multinationals have been winning strategic infrastructural contracts across the West and is starting to threaten American technological supremacy. The desperate efforts at trying to ban TikTok and the embarrassment of the tech oligarchs by China's cut price AI application are harbingers of more to come.

This context is most useful for thinking about Trump's foreign policy. As a well-known China hawk, he and his goon squad are executing a turn away from the Biden era's preoccupations (save one) with Europe, Ukraine, and Russia to ultimately face down and box in China. Russia fits this picture for a couple of reasons. Gone are the days of the Sino-Soviet split, China and Russia have grown closer to one another. Beijing has tried exerting a moderating influence on Putin over Ukraine without much success, but that doesn't detract from the common interest they share in resisting the American "international community" of allies, lackeys, and puppets that marked the pre-Trump world. For the White House, its overtures appear to be aimed at prising Russia away from China. It also helps to explain the thinking aloud about readmitting Russia to the G8, and the possibility of joint exploitation of Ukrainian mineral wealth in Russian-occupied zones. The economic and diplomatic reintegration of Putin's gangster state could turn Putin's head and leave Beijing without a major military ally. Secondly, on the subject of minerals the bulk of the vast natural resources of Russia remains in the ground. Bringing Moscow in from the cold not only promises US companies the chance of super-profits from exploiting this wealth, it denies China these strategic resources. A strong friendship between Trump's America and Putin's Russia is not just good for business. It would stymie China and keep the US secure in its position as global hegemon.

Others would prefer to prattle on about Trump's alleged cognitive decline or the doings of the FSB to explain all this. They prefer fairy stories that obscure more than they reveal because anything else compromises the fantasies that have been crafted about the US, its actions, and its prime position in the global order. But Trump's embrace of Russia is not without risks. Another reason why post-war American foreign policy has stressed Transatlanticism is to keep Europe under its thumb. Washington's Marshall Plan, the rebuilding of Western Europe, and the encouragement of the EU created affluent markets for US corporations, while tying the West and later the East to NATO ensured that European states were never strategically at odds with them. Trump deciding to position the US as an unreliable ally has had the desired effect of increasing military spending, but at the price of becoming unmoored from US interests. For as long as Putin or a similar nationalist/military adventurist regime remains in the Kremlin, Ukraine reminds everyone that none of Europe's eastern states are safe. Europe also has the wealth and the military and technical expertise to put together an alliance without Trump that could deter Russia. But the real problem for him is if Europe is shepherded down this road by US vibe, US statements, and US actions (notwithstanding attempts at bridging the divide), then far from isolating Beijing we might find a new alignment of east-west interests without America and without Russia. And that could be a recipe for accelerating the decline of US world dominance.

Trump is playing a high stakes game that many in the State Department and the wider American oligarchy are opposed to because it hurts their immediate interests and weakens them in the long-term. Establishment opposition so far appears thin on the ground, but as their power is at stake they cannot and will not sit back in a bewildered haze forever.

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Saturday, 1 March 2025

Local Council By-Elections February 2025

This month saw 41,242 votes cast in eight local authority contests. All percentages are rounded to the nearest single decimal place. 12 council seats changed hands. For comparison with January's results, see here.

Party
Number of Candidates
Total Vote
%
+/- Jan
+/- Feb 25
Avge/
Contest
+/-
Seats
Conservative
          23
 9,896
    24.0%
  +2.7
      -7.0
   430
     0
Labour
          23
 9,998
    24.2%
  +7.1
     +3.0
   435
    -6
Lib Dem
          20
 7,917
    19.2%
   -2.6
      -9.7
   396
    -1
Reform*
          22
 8,020
    19.4%
  +8.9
   +18.5
   365
   +5
Green
          20
 2,887
     7.0%
  +1.3
     +0.0
   144
     0
SNP**
           2
 1,474
     3.6%
   -6.0
     +2.3
   737
   +1
PC***
           0
  
    
 
     
   
     0
Ind****
           5
  709
     1.7%
 -11.9
     -5.6
   142
   +1
Other*****
           8
  341
     0.8%
  +0.4
     -0.6
    43
     0


* Reform's comparison results are based on recomputing their tallies from last year's Others
** There were two by-elections in Scotland
*** There were two by-elections in Wales
**** There two Independent clashes
***** Others this month consisted of Alba (63), Christian People's Alliance (14), Heritage (21, 12), Putting Cumbria First (76), Rejoin (68), SDP (69), Sovereignty (18)

Reform take the by-election crown this month, hoovering up councillors (three courtesy of Labour, two from the Conservatives) and finally achieving a vote share that's closer to their polling figures. You might ask why it took them so long, seeing as the news media continues to be framed by the preoccupation of the right wing press and differential turn outs by age give them and the Tories an advantage over the other parties. Whatever the answer is, the catch up is sudden. This time last year Reform could hardly be bothered fielding by-election candidates and scores below 1% were routine. They have quickly become a force not to be dismissed lightly.

Labour was everyone's punching bag in February. They had better get used to it. We'll see if what's been happening with Donald Trump shifts the dial on national polling. The Tories managed to hold steady, winning and losing in equal measure. February was another strong month for the Liberal Democrats. If this persists, it would be reasonable to assume they have permanently annexed a section of liberalish soft Tory opinion. The upward momentum of the Greens, however, has been halted by Reform's advance and its new role as a repository of protest votes. They gained one and lost one council seat, but annoyingly came within four votes of taking a seat off the Tories in East Suffolk.

Over the course of this year, I'll be running a side project keeping an eye on the Independents and Others. Now Reform are a proper contender and by-elections typically have a range of choice, will Reform become a) a new vehicle for self-styled local heroes to get on their councils who might otherwise have stood as Independents, and therefore depress the number of candidacies from this quarter? And b), is it going to have a similar effect on the candidacies from Others? We'll see.

As for next month, unfortunately it's likely Reform will carry on doing well. I expect the Lib Dems to turn in a creditable performance, and Labour and the Tories get vote shares commensurate with their polling. And for the Greens ... maybe they will surprise us.

6 February
Hyndburn, Baxenden, Con gain from Lab
Medway, Rochester East & Warren Wood, Ref gain from Lab x2
Medway, Gillingham South, Lab hold
Tendring, The Bentleys & Frating, Ref gain from Con
Wokingham, Winnersh, LDem hold

11 February
Pembrokeshire, Haverfordwest Prendergast, Ind gain from Con

13 February
Barnet, Burnt Oak, Lab hold
East Dunbartonshire, Kirkintilloch North & East & Twechar, Lab gain from LDem
New Forest, Bransgore, Burley, Sopley & Ringwood East, Con gain from Grn
Stevenage, Manor, LDem hold
Torfaen, Trevethin & Penygarn, Ref gain from Lab
Warwick, All Saints & Woodloes, Grn gain from Lab

18 February
Brent, Alperton, LDem hold

20 February
Barking & Dagenham, Whalebone, Lab hold
Colchester, Tiptree, Con hold
East Ayrshire, Kilmarnock North, SNP gain from Lab
Hammersmith & Fulham, Hammersmith Broadway, Lab hold
Hammersmith & Fulham, Lillie, Lab hold

27 February
Breckland, Bedingfeld, Ref gain from Con
East Suffolk, Rushmere St Andrews, Con hold
East Suffolk, Woodbridge, LDem hold
Westminster, Vincent Square, Con gain from Lab
Westmorland & Furness, Eamont & Shap, LDem hold

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Five Most Popular Posts in February

There might be a crisis in the transatlantic alliance, but nothing, I mean nothing will stop the customary monthly round up of what's hot on this here blog.

1. The Politics of Noticing
2. The Radicalisation of Young Women
3. Blue Labour and the Working Class
4. The Sacking of Andrew Gwynne
5. Revisiting Brexit and Corbynism

Coming out top was a piece on how sections of the left/liberal press and academia are beginning to notice that Keir Starmer isn't necessarily on their side. A crisis in the making for the Prime Minister. This was followed by a crisis of another sort. While commentators were falling over themselves and wringing their hands about the advance of the AfD in Germany, little noticed was the much deeper left wing radicalisation of young women. What's going on? In third was my exasperated piece on Blue Labour, the theory middle class right wingers in the Labour Party keep trying to resurrect to cover for their own prejudices. Not far behind was a look at the arrogant stupidity of Andrew Gwynne and how this brief episode lifts the lid on the mundane culture of Labour parliamentarians. And last was a trip down memory lane on news that there were talks between Dominic Cummings and Jeremy Corbyn's office back in the day. Ah, what simpler times they were.

A couple of other pieces for your consideration. The first is last night's scrawlings reflecting on the profound shock establishment political opinion received after Trump's public bullying of Volodymyr Zelenskyy in the Oval Office on Friday. A far cry from the clubby atmos of Keir Starmer's visit the day before. This one's going to reverberate. The second is February's sole foray into science fiction with a look at Norman Spinrad's The Void Captain's Tale.

What's coming up in March? I've got four or five posts queued in my brain so if nothing appears, it's not for want of material. The resignation of Anneliese Dodds, Trump's affinity to Russia, and a couple of SF commentaries immediately spring to mind. I'm sure the comings and goings of politics will provide unforeseen occasions for content creation too. As ever, if you haven't already don't forget to follow the (very) occasional newsletter, and if you like what I do (and you're not skint), you can help support the blog. Following me on Bluesky, Facebook, and for what it's worth Twitter, are cost-free ways of showing your backing for this corner of the internet.

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