This month saw 34,125 votes cast in 15 local authority contests. All percentages are rounded to the nearest single decimal place. 10 council seats changed hands. For comparison with July's results, see here.
Party
|
Number of Candidates
|
Total Vote
|
%
|
+/- Jul
|
+/- Aug 24
|
Avge/
Contest |
+/-
Seats |
Conservative
|
16
| 4,777 |
14.0%
| -4.6 |
-6.9
|
299
|
-4
|
Labour
|
14
| 7,184 |
21.1%
| +4.5 |
-8.2
| 513
|
-5
|
Lib Dem
|
13
| 5,248
|
15.4%
| -2.7 |
+3.9
|
404
|
+2
|
Reform*
|
16
| 8,794
|
25.8%
| -2.1 |
+19.2
|
550
| +5
|
Green
|
12
| 2,948
|
8.6%
| -0.4
|
-0.9
|
246
|
+2
|
SNP**
|
1
| 1,142 |
3.3%
| +3.3 |
-6.4
| 1,142
|
0
|
PC***
|
2
| 1,128 |
3.3%
| +1.5 |
+1.1
| 564
|
0
|
Ind****
|
10
| 2,218 |
6.5%
|
-2.2
|
221
|
0
| |
Other*****
|
9
|
2.0%
| +1.7 |
+0.5
|
76
|
0 |
* Reform's comparison results are based on recomputing their tallies from last year's Others
** There was one by-elections in Scotland
*** There were three by-elections in Wales
**** There were two Independent clashes
***** Others in June consisted of Abolish Holyrood (27), Brixtowe Alliance (275), Gwlad (6), Pirate Party (11), Propel (327), TUSC (29, 1), UKIP (5), Workers' Party (15)
And the Tories come fourth with a truly terrible share of aggregate votes. Not quite the worst as the 13.1% recorded in April this year is their floor. So far. And so having spent the entire month sounding like the BNP to try and outdo Reform has paid obvious dividends on the council front. Another pitiful month for Labour too, though it does have the consolation of popping its head above the 20% barrier this month. Meanwhile, the Greens and Lib Dems will be pleased with their performances and, with weary predicability, Nigel Farage comes out on top. Albeit with a second month in vote share fall.
It's worth remembering that Reform's performance is not a reflection of growing support, but rather by-elections catching up with the opinion polling shift that has already taken place. And what that tells us is, bearing in mind that elderly voters disproportionately turn out for council by-elections, that the Tory goose is well and truly cooked. But given how far they've shifted to the right, are there any meaningful political differences between them and Reform? No. The only real difference is the latter is far more credible with right wing voters where delivering their hateful agenda is concerned. Meaning that the space for the Conservative is rapidly evaporating.
7 August
Cannock Chase, Hednesford Green Heath, Ref gain from Lab
Carmarthenshire, Llangennech, Ref gain from Lab
Durham, Easington & Shotton, Ref hold
14 August
Cardiff, Grangetown, Grn gain from Lab
Newcastle, South Jesmond, Grn gain from Lab
21 August
Doncaster, Bentley, Ref hold
East Hampshire, Alton Amery, LDem hold
East Renfrewshire, Barrhead, Liboside & Uplawmoor, Lab hold
Gwynedd, Abermaw, Ind hold
Hounslow, Cranford, Lab hold
Runnymede, Addlestone South, Ref gain from Con x2
Surrey, Addlestone, Ref gain from Con
Surrey, Hinchley Wood, Claygate & Oxshott, LDem gain from Con
28 August
Broxtowe, Nuthall East & Strelley, Con hold
Camden, West Hampstead, LDem gain from Lab
No comments:
Post a Comment