Saturday 1 April 2023

Quarter One By-Elections Results 2023

This quarter 77,058 votes were cast over 39 local authority contests. All percentages are rounded to the nearest single decimal place. 20 council seats changed hands. For comparison you can view Quarter four's results here.

  Party
Number of Candidates
Total Vote
%
+/- 
Q4  22
+/- Q1 2022
Average
+/-
Seats
Conservative
         36
20,172
   26.2%
  -2.3
     -9.9
   560
    -9
Labour
         37
22,247
   28.9%
  -1.2
    +8.5
   601
   +7
LibDem
         29
14,130
   18.3%
 +3.1
     -9.0
   487
   +5
Green
         25
 6,689
    8.7%
 +0.2
    +2.5
   268
   +3
SNP*
          3
 3,743
    4.9%
  -0.1
    +3.4
 1,247
    -2
PC**
          4
 1,197
    1.6%
 +0.3
    +1.6
   299
     0
Ind***
         31
 7,162
    9.3%
  -1.4
    +2.1
   231
    -2
Other****
        20
 1,659
    2.2%
  +1.2
    +1.1
    83
    -2


* There were three by-elections in Scotland
** There were four by-elections in Wales
*** There were four Independent clashes
**** Others this quarter consisted of Alba (178), Breakthrough Party (120), Christian People's Alliance (93, 35), Libertarian (20), Monster Raving Loony (22), Reform (85, 40, 110, 37), Rejoin (99), Residents for Uttleford (238), Scottish Family Party (60, 90, 50), TUSC (15, 18, 23, 12), Yorkshire Party (314)

It's not very often Labour out-organises the Tories, but this was a rare quarter where they managed that, came out top in popular vote terms, and won the most council seats. I know not many people give council by-elections time of day, but given those who vote in them are disproportionately elderly and therefore more likely to support the Tories, these are a very good set of results for Labour. The Liberal Democrat revival continues as well with very respectable scores on the doors, and it might be premature to talk about the rise of the Greens but this quarter has been kind to them as well.

If this is the picture of local politics just over a month out from a crucial set of council elections for Rishi Sunak, things aren't shaping up well for the Tories.

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