
As recently argued, this "tough choice" is about demonstrating the new government's reliability where capital is concerned. Yes, some wealth taxes might be in the offing, but there are class politics to be managed. For every move most of the left would be on board with, such as settling the NHS and rail workers strikes, extending workers' rights, ending right-to-buy, each has to be tempered. Pay deals now mean "reforms" later. A better deal at work comes after significant dilution. The subsidised council house sell-off continues with properties built before an arbitrary cut off point. Aspirations have to be shaped and framed, and that means not letting them get out of hand. Putting a lid on things is the sine qua non of Labour politics.
That requires regressive moves too. Pushing their attack on the elderly as a "progressive" move against the well off is an assault on universalism and an affirmation of the residual welfare state. It sends a very clear signal. Under Keir Starmer, there will be no return of social goods that were curtailed in favour of conditionality. And it also tells capital that similar moves in the future are possible. Ending the single person council tax discount, raising tuition fees, and even means testing the state pension are not ruled out. Residualism suits because, in the round, it makes labour more dependent on capital for its income. It disciplines by encouraging working people to save for their old age instead of thinking about collective action, creates more markets for new pension "products" and insurance and as per the Tories limits expectations on what the state can and should do.
Coming back to Tuesday night's vote, chances of a substantial backbench rebellion are low. Rachel Maskell, who's led the charge in "opposition" to the cut, says she will abstain. With perhaps 30 other MPs too, lest they lose the whip like our pre-recess Magnificent Seven. It will be interesting to see who among them file through the no lobby in the hope of returning to the fold. What the promised abstentions and uncertainties underline, as per the character of Labourism, is its variability and unreliability. Anger at Labour MPs who vote with the government or fail to oppose them is justified, but speaks to the weakness of the left outside of Labourism. Their vacillating and shilly-shallying is a political problem and not a failure of backbone. Until an alternative centre of political gravity is established that presses Starmerism from the left, we can look forward to being in this position many times over the next decade.
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