Showing posts with label Labour. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Labour. Show all posts

Saturday, 16 May 2026

Should the Greens Stand in Makerfield?

Now that Labour's NEC have given Andy Burnham the okay to stand in Makerfield, the Greens have got to decision to make: should they stand? The party put out a statement saying they were doing just that, and the ball had started rolling on candidate selection. This was followed up with Caroline Lucas saying that she hoped the decision to stand "wasn't true" and this was a moment to "put country before party" and give Burnham a clear run. Not only to minimise the risk of Reform getting in, but to secure "fairer voting", something Burnham is a long-standing advocate of. By chance, they're appearing on stage together in a fortnight's time.

Lucas presents a compelling case encouraging the Greens to sit this one out. But, as one Green spox put it, which version of Burnham is going to turn up? For instance we hear that he's about to drop his bid to rejoin the EU, ostensibly to court and/or neutralise Reform support in Makerfield, while the Telegraph writes that he stands by his pledge. Which is which? Those with long memories might recall his being all over the place during the 2015 Labour leadership contest - has he changed?

There's going to be a lot of pressure on the Greens to stand down. For one, there's the usual vote-Labour-or-get-Reform "argument" that worked out so well in Gorton and Denton. Though, in this case, the Burnham factor means there's more heft to it. Then there are the expectations of the Greens' new members and voters, a good chunk of whom are effectively refugees from Labourism. Not a few of them will share Lucas's positive views of Burnham, as well as her diagnosis of the stakes. If a Green candidacy is seen costing Labour the seat under these circumstances there might be a price to pay.

In my view, if the local Greens are minded not to stand they shouldn't sell their cooperation cheaply. What Labour seem determined to learn the hard way is that its monopoly on left wing votes is long over. If the Greens are to cede them ground, then Labour needs to work to make it worth their while. Burnham should be challenged on Green priorities to make public promises on them. What springs to mind is the aforementioned electoral reform, but I would also add wealth taxes, action on low pay and precarity, more action on solar and wind, and ending the race to the bottom on immigration and asylum. If he cannot commit, then that suggests any Labour Party he ends up leading will be marked by the same rudderless malaise we've seen under Keir Starmer. Go on, Andy. If you want the Greens to stand down then give them a reason.

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Thursday, 14 May 2026

Andy Burnham's Second Coming

I remember the time when the resignation of a senior government minister would corner political news and comment for days. But writing on the evening after Andy Burnham's announced his bid to return to the Commons, who's talking about Wes Streeting stepping down any more? Well, I am. His was a curious letter, starting off with a out-of-place "the results are in" joshing, and then rolling off recent NHS achievements, including the welcome news that waiting lists conitnue to fall. He went on to the substantive stuff; how he was frustrated by the government making the wrong calls and stuck in low gear deliverism before saying he had lost confidence in Keir Starmer and was off. But he did not then reach for the starting pistol, or the 81 MPs needed to launch a leadership bid. A read of his own chances, or knowing what was coming later?

Then tonight, Josh Simons, hitherto famous for overseeing dodgy doings while he was director of Labour Together, announced he was vacating his Makerfield seat in Manchester so Burnham could have a run. Burnham has confirmed he will seek the permission of Labour's NEC to be the candidate. And, interestingly, the chatter from Downing Street is that Starmer is not minded to block his candidacy. Things are about to get very interesting. And by 'very interesting', we means it's doubtful he'll remain in Number 10 by the end of summer.

Can Burnham can take Makerfield? The seat has been Labour's since it was formed in 1983, and Simons does have a decent majority of 5,400. But things were far from peachy at the local elections. Here, Reform ran away with victory, scoring almost 50% of the vote while Labour collapsed to 24% and the Greens scraped 11%. Although it was a different political time, Burnham did storm the mayoralty in 2024 with 63%. And the areas around Wigan, where Makerfield is situated, was particularly strong. As argued previously, there's a good chance the locals have flattered Reform. And Burnham has several other advantages: strong name recognition, a good local record for a Labour mayor, and a bit of an anti-Starmer cache. Punters there will know they're effectively voting for the next Prime Minister, which could boost him. Burnham is not guaranteed to win, but notwithstanding the local election numbers, there are more anti-right wing voters in the constituency to be mobilised. He's got to be the favourite to win it, assuming the NEC sides with him.

Which brings us back to Streeting. That Angela Rayner was cleared of wrongdoing by HMRC took some wind out of Streeting's sails on Thursday morning, but he is not a stupid man. He can read the same polls as the rest of us and how unlikely he would win a leadership election against virtually anyone, including Starmer himself. Perhaps he'll put in if Burnham successfully returns to remind the selectorate that he exists, but he's still young for a politician and, under a different leader, has the chance to reinvent himself as a convert to soft left Labourism. Especially if Burnham is serious about his promises to move Labour more in this direction. A case of his being down, but by no means out.

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Tuesday, 12 May 2026

Demanding Deliverism

Last night it was looking a bit wobbly, but this evening Keir Starmer appears to be safe - following a most excruciating day. Four ministers have taken their leave of government, and presently 92 MPs have said it's time for Starmer to shut up shop. Tellingly, no cabinet member has broken ranks or resigned. Shabana Mahmood, who apparently told Starmer last night that it was time for him to agree a timetable is still "getting in with the job" of trying to out-Reform Reform in the Home Office. And without anyone leading from the top of government, the clutch of resignations are not moving him. In fact, it's prompted a round-robin counter letter from 110 MPs (and counting) who back Starmer.

What are the complaints of our former ministers? This morning, Miatta Fahnbulleh resigned from her minister of religion post, saying that the government had not acted with "vision, pace, and ambition", nor that Labour had governed in a way that was "clear about our values and strong in our convictions." She went on to say that the public's verdict on Starmer's leadership was unmistakable: he had to go. There wasn't much of a critique in Fahnbulleh's letter, except she drew attention to the winter fuel debacle and the shameful attack on disabled people as "mistakes".

Our second resigner was safeguarding minister Jess Phillips. Her letter was pretty damning and attacked the plodding complacency of this government. She talked about how groomed children can be blocked from making naked images of themselves and that this technology could already be rolled out, were it not for Number 10's indifference. Phillips added that Labour governments are "precious" and "I'm not sure we are grasping this rare opportunity with the gusto that's needed." That's why Starmer has to give way. Fun fact, to my knowledge Phillips is the only MP who has her photo on official Commons correspondence.

She was followed approximately an hour later by Alex Davies-Jones. She said results in Wales and the rest of the UK were "catastrophic". No disagreements there. But she is impatient. "Now is the time for bold radical action", she declares. I guess Davies-Jones is not too familiar with Labourism's history. Labour needs to be seize opportunities after 14 years out of power, and "I implore you to act in the country's interest and set out a timetable for your departure."

Last was Wes Streeting ally, Zubir Ahmed. In a display of attempted gravitas rarely seen among Labour MPs, he writes "... as I raise my gaze above the daily work of ministerial life, it is clear to see that whatever the magnitude of individual achievements and progress, they are now being dwarfed and undermined by a lack of values-driven leadership at the centre." He provides flavoursome anecdotes from Scottish doorsteps, and condemns the "noise" from government that "became the midwife" of another SNP government. And to round it off, Ahmed revives the old country-before-party mantra and hurls it back in Starmer's face.

How handy, how coincidental that these "uncoordinated" letters covered all corners of Great Britain. But they are all weak sauce politically speaking. But one letter, coming from the pen of the only soft left figure here, ventured a political criticism. The others are all about distractions and not enough deliverism. For the centre and the right of the PLP fundamentally agree with Starmer that the problem is less one of political direction and more a case of not getting there fast enough. Which indicates they haven't learned any lessons at all, and their urgency stems from the imaginary KPIs they have flashing in their heads. One has to ensure the CV is suitably burnished before 2029 returns them to something like normal life.

It's now widely reported that Streeting will be meeting Starmer on Wednesday morning ahead of the King's speech. But for what purpose? He might have the required 81 MPs needed to trigger a contest, but seeing as a substantial body of PLP opinion are against having one, would Streeting run the risk of alienating swathes of people who might otherwise be favourably disposed toward his candidacy? We'll find out tomorrow afternoon following the announcement of the legislative programme. Though, Ed Miliband is reportedly now prepared to run if Streeting forces a contest, which would be amusing and a sure fire way of seeing the darling of for-profit health interests off.

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Monday, 11 May 2026

Labour's Political Paralysis

Following Labour's drubbing across Britain, we were told Keir Starmer was about to make the speech of his political life. The stakes had been raised as Catherine West of Catherine West fame did the rounds on Sunday saying she was going to challenge him if the cabinet didn't come together and pass the baton on to someone else. The Prime Minister needed to impress jittery MPs and signal a change of direction. The inside politics gossip faithfully transmitted by BBC and Sky stenographers told us that Starmer was impatient and wanted to abandon incremental change. Was he about to break with six years of plodding leadership and strike out on a new, exciting path?

No, of course he wasn't. His talk may have been a touch more spirited than other recent set pieces. He wasn't wearing a tie, after all. But there was nothing new here. Having watched more of these than most people, it was a classic of the Starmer genre. A few genuflections to his humble origins, and a re-announcement of policies already coming down the pipe. Scunthorpe steel works is going to get nationalised, subject to a "public interest test", and that will be in the King's speech on Wednesday. Nodding to John Major speeches of 30 years vintage, Starmer said his government would put "Britain at the heart of Europe". A bit of rhetorical red meat for unrepentant remainers, but in practice this is merely the return of Erasmus plus a mobility/work scheme for young people. And third there are to be more apprenticeships and guaranteed jobs so youngsters can start building their futures. He said he understood the frustrations of people who've experienced nothing but shocks and price hikes since 2008, he talked about keeping Britain out of active involvement in the war on Iran, how bad Brexit has been, and he made disparaging remarks about Nigel Farage. And that was it. Nothing to address the problems he outlined. No change in direction. And for all his fulminations against a broken status quo, this stall was retailing more of the same.

Yet, it appeared to see off the immediate danger of a challenge. West pulled back from casting herself as a stalking horse and instead would busy herself gathering names so that a new leader can be in post by September. A gambit, by itself, unlikely to succeed. Meanwhile, speaking at the CWU's conference Angela Rayner said we can't go on like this, and lamented the opportunity lost when Starmer blocked Andy Burnham from standing in Gorton and Denton. The afternoon has been a drip, drip of unimpressed Labour MPs making their views known. Joining Chris Curtis and Josh Simons, who'd already broken cover before the speech, were Blackpool's Lorraine Beavers and Newcastle's Catherine McKinnell, and then on Monday evening four junior ministers packed it in: Tom Rutland has resigned his environmental brief, Wes Streeting's bag carrier Joe Morris is gone, the Cabinet Office's Naushabah Khan said the party "needs a change on direction", and David Lammy aide Melanie Ward said the public's verdict last week "was clear". Additionally, Shabana Mahmood's coffer bringer Sally Jameson has called on Starmer to go. As of the very moment of writing, 75 MPs want a new leader.

The issue is whether this is what MPs in general want. It was notable that remnants of the Campaign Group were trying to talk West down from her challenge because they want time to get Burnham back into the Commons. A Streeting premiership is to be avoided at all costs. But also, no one in the cabinet at the moment is willing to go out on a limb. Presumably because their favoured successor is ill=prepared, or because the general mood among the PLP is against a contest, they're all being terribly loyal and sticking on-message. It's worth noting that most who've expressed their views and want Starmer gone are a mix of the usuals and MPs early in their careers.

Part of the paralysis is thanks to the limited range of possible successors. The Streeting vs Burnham/Raynor tale has narrowed minds as it has narrowed options, so there's little to no thought about skipping a generation. Al Carns is occasionally mentioned, but this has more to do with Labour's love for military machismo than whatever his other qualities might be. There are a range of capable others who are unlikely to get a look-in. Off the top of my head, Louise Haigh, Rosena Allin-Khan, and Sarah Owen possess soft left politics, have variously fallen foul of Morgan McSweeney's boys' club, are fresh faces where the public are concerned, and are considerably more dynamic than Starmer and the other "big beasts". The PLP might be short on talent, but there are some who are consistently overlooked.

Whatever the eventual leadership contest looks like, we're in the awkward position that Starmer is finished as far as the country is concerned. He spent the last six years disassembling Labour's coalition of voters and he and his allies appear genuinely shocked that they won't now pay fealty to his party. However, for reasons of convenience, cowardice, and careerism, the bulk of the PLP are reluctant to move on right now. And that could mean we're lumbered with the Prime Minister for a while longer yet.

Edit Obviously, the two minutes this post was up has tipped the scales. According to the BBC's Chris Mason, Shabana Mahmood and others have urged Starmer to lay out a timetable for his resignation. The lesson? On an active news day, never, never post commentary about it until the lead in to the 10 o'clock news is over.

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Sunday, 10 May 2026

A Reform Victory is Far From Inevitable

What a catastrophic set of election results for Labour. In Scotland, Anas Sarwar's branch office took a bold step backwards as support fell to 17 seats on 19% of the constituency and 16% of the list vote, breaking through the floor he sat at the 2021 elections. The electorate sealed their verdict on his miserable performance by voting him out of his Cathcart and Pollok seat, but thanks to the list system he'll be back when Holyrood reconvenes. Likewise in Wales, Labour smashed its terribly low expectations with a plunge from 29 seats to just nine, losing two-thirds of its vote and also consigning its leader, the hapless First Minister Eluned Morgan, to the political dustbin.

Labour's devolved government woes overshadowed a disastrous night for the Tories too. They went from 31 seats to 12 in Scotland, and from 16 to 7 in Wales. A fraction under 12% and 11% respectively, they look increasingly like an utterly spent force. Unfortunately, that's because a great deal of unionist energy is now stored in Reform's political batteries. On 34 seats and 29% of the vote, they are the second largest party after Plaid Cymru and will be the opposition, as well as the standard bearer for continuing the union in Wales. In Scotland they are tied with Labour on 17 seats, thanks primarily to the list system. Here it too is the ascendant voice of unionism, making the link between the preservation of the UK state and right wing extremism something the socially liberal SNP are sure to exploit.

Likewise, in England it was a pitiful night for Labour. Keir Starmer achieved its worst result in English local elections since it became a party of government. The low of 1,300 councillors lost by Jim Callaghan in 1976 was surpassed as Labour gave up 1,496 seats. The party relinquished control of 38 councils, and scored a projected vote share of 17%. No wonder more Labour MPs are finally breaking cover and calling on the Prime Minister to go without waiting for the would-be successors to get all their ducks in a row. As forecast by sundry pundits, councils in the north tumbled in Reform's favour, while right on cue a clutch of London councils fell to the Greens, along with two directly-elected mayoralties.

Though you wouldn't know it from Kemi Badenoch's upbeat countenance, the Tories' performance in England almost matched the Scottish and Welsh disasters. 563 fewer councillors will be paying in tithes to their local Conservative group. Still not convinced that this once-mighty party is in long-term decline?

It was, again, Reform's night. A projected 26% of the vote and 1,451 new councillors puts them head and shoulders above the other parties and, thanks to the dysfunctional verities of first-past-the-post, would get them close to an overall majority if this was repeated at a general election. 14 more councils fall under their sway, and undoubtedly deals will be done in other local authorities that will see them govern in coalition with others, such as Tories and/or localist independents. There is no cordon sanitaire in British politics! The Greens inched ahead of Labour and took second place, with a projected 18%, 441 more councillors and five councils - again more or less matching forecast expectations and turning in the party's biggest ever win.

So much for the new state of play, but what about the underlying politics? John Curtice's position, that a decline on last year's vote share would represent a stalling of Reform's chances, regardless of how many councillors they picked up, was borne out on Thursday. Their share is down four points on the 2025 elections. But taking differential turnout into the equation, it's possible these results flatter Reform's level of support if a general election was to be held imminently. Which, of course, is not going to happen.

To restate the argument, polls consistently show that Reform, like the Tories, are demographically dependent on older people for their support. There are several reasons for this. This matters because it is well known older voters and particularly the retired are more likely to fill out their postal ballots or turn up at the polling station than the bulk of working age people. Therefore, the right has an important advantage going into elections. By way of an example, if retired people has stayed at home on EU referendum day a decade ago then Remain would have won. Where second order elections are concerned, most voters believe these "matter less" than general elections. Turnout goes down across the board, but the reduction is disproportionately greater for younger cohorts, strengthening the advantage of the right.

In Reform's case, its 29% in Wales and 15.8%/16.6% tally in Scotland are likely to overstate their real level of support vis a vis a general election. Ditto for England's projected 26%. And yet that figure is roughly in line with what pollsters report from their balanced samples. Does this suggest differential turnout is a mirage? Polls are always models and are, at best, only indicative. They are trumped by votes cast and, arguably, the analysis of those votes. Second, pollsters know this themselves which is why numbers given are caveated by margins of error. Dealing with the effects of differential turnout, I would suggest that the reversion from the right's second order election advantage to the weaker one it enjoys at general elections could reduce the Reform (and the Tory) score by two to three points as other cohorts turn up to vote. Not a massive amount, but one that matters when politics is this close run.

For the same reasons, there is a strong case that in England, perhaps less so in Scotland and Wales thanks to the SNP and Plaid Cymru, the Greens' 18% is an underestimate of where the party actually is. To have scored so highly, outperforming Labour (who suffer a similar disadvantage) and the Tories (who don't) is all the more remarkable considering the Greens' working age/young base is comparatively less likely to show up. A confirmation that Zack Polanski's Green-left populism is the right strategy for the right time.

Obviously, this comes with further caveats. Above all, geographical variation. Reform's 29% in Wales suggests the party is proportionately stronger there than elsewhere. Though looking at it from a right bloc/liberal-left bloc perspective, it's a 41%/58% division, which is wider than the same 43%/51% division for the English local elections (the untidy splits denote independents/others). Seat variation also matters. Bradford, for instance, saw Reform take 23 seats on 26%, but the Greens just seven on 22%. Nevertheless, the direction is clear. We, rightly, hear concerns about the danger from the right, the damage they do, and the atavisms they enable. They could win an election. But the numbers and the political direction shows greater numbers and the greater potential for mobilisation to their left. Reform and the right can be defeated. They are not inevitable.

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Monday, 4 May 2026

Wallowing in the Gutter

"Today we announce a new policy." These were the words Zia Yusuf used to introduce Reform's intention to set up networks of "detention centres" for deporting tens of thousands of people at a time. Their precious promise? To ensure none are situated in constituencies with Reform MPs or local authorities run by the party. They will, by and large, be placed where there are Green councils or Green MPs. In doing so, Yusuf was able to win the attention wars for the morning of Bank Holiday Monday in the most repugnant way possible.

There is a mass market for political thuggery, but that market doesn't extend beyond the 15-20% of the electorate that are the party's base. And it might give its softer "I'm not racist, but ..." some pause ... before they vote for Reform anyway. It does, however, limit their appeal beyond this. Strategically speaking, ahead of a set of local elections that look poor for the Tories and cataclysmic for Labour, it might be read as a call to turn out their supporters. A bit of racism, plus a poke in the eye for clueless middle class do-gooders that don't live with the consequences of mass migration. This is the vibe Reform are trying to ride. The problem they could encounter here is boosting the support for the Greens, which already has had some success with the "it's us or Reform" framing. Of course, Reform know this too. They've reasoned that in places not like Gorton and Denton, left wing politics and defending migration is much less palatable than themselves, and will put disaffected centre-leaning voters off from lending them their support. A strategy Reform thinks could cement divisions on the broader left they can capitalise on. We will see.

Reform are also teeing up for another summer of shouting loudly about immigration. Improving conditions in the Channel means more small boat crossings, and with it another round of tabloid hysteria. Months of right wing efforts at re-stoking the 2024 summer riots lie ahead. Unfortunately for Reform, and for everybody else, the cost-of-living crisis is to spike as the American/Israeli stand off with Iran remains unresolved. This, not Labour "getting tough" on immigration, is why immigration has fallen down priority list. And because the Gulf isn't about to sort itself out, and is looking more fraught at the time of writing, it's not likely another round of scaremongering is going to work as a distraction from a crisis cooked up between Washington and Tel Aviv. And that's a problem for Reform, because they have nothing that can address this crisis and, as Keir Starmer mentions every time he's near a TV camera, Farage wanted the UK to back the US-Israeli war on Iran in the first place.

Reform has plumbed new depths for British politics. A reminder to Labour's clever, clever strategists that it can never out-right wing an extreme right wing party on race and immigration. But, like the Tories before them with their awful Rwanda deportation plan, Labour have stirred the pot by scapegoating refugees and refusing to challenge the lies put out by the press, cultivating an inchoate, atomised, reactionary mob who find embers of collectivity and connection through spite and by punching downward. Who'd have thought jabbing an endless river of toxins into politics might have resulted in something entirely malignant that, in turn, threatens to consume them. They made this politics possible, and I might have said serves them right. If the results of their poison didn't threaten us all.

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Monday, 27 April 2026

Stuck with Starmer

Another week has rolled by and Keir Starmer is still Prime Minister. The Peter Mandelson affair grinds on, with a vote of inquiry into whether Starmer misled the Commons has been tabled by the Tories, and now ministers will spend their Monday evening ringing round the PLP to ensure they vote the right way. And the overwhelming majority of them will. After all this parliamentary party has happily voted for cuts to disability payments, so they're unlikely to find fault with the administrative procedures surrounding the affair. Tuesday also brings us Morgan McSweeney's appearance before the Foreign Affairs Committee, which may entail more squirming and discomfiture. All of which is about muddying Starmer's responsibility for appointing Mandelson in the first place.

You've got to ask how much longer can the farce of this premiership stagger on for. Over the weekend, Starmer said the next election would be between Labour and Reform and he's the man to lead that campaign. He went on to say that the "patriotic values of tolerance, decency, live and let live, diversity, are under challenge like we’ve never seen before." He should know,. His government is at the forefront of stirring the pot.

Unfortunately, Starmer's manifest unsuitability and dishonesty is something Labour are stuck with. Such are the consequences of the party's Faustian pact with the Mandelson-led, and City-funded coterie who Starmer played front man for. The election victory was brought at the price of stripping the party of the remnants of its social democratic soul, and now all the electorate can see is something abominable. A veritable picture of Dorian Gray without the witty prose. The question about who would replace Starmer is as unresolved now as it was when the NEC blocked Andy Burnham from standing in Gorton and Denton. MPs, despairing at Starmer, are now apparently warming to the King of the North's seizing the Iron Throne. Yet the path back remains as convoluted as ever. Meanwhile, Wes Streeting is still damaged goods because of his Mandelson associations and oligarch-friendly politics. And Angela Rayner is still waiting for her tax issues to go away. Matters are so bad that Ed Miliband's name continues to float around the lobby gossip columns.

I'm almost reminded of that weird moment in British politics when Theresa May's position had completely disintegrated but, at the same time, because none of her rivals wanted to inherit the tough job of negotiating a Brexit deal and selling it to a deeply divided Tory party, she was afforded a strange but time-limited autonomy independent of the warring factions. A very weak sort of Bonapartism. But I said almost reminded. In all essentials, Starmer and his possible successors are on the same page politically. Streeting offers no change at all, the same dead-eyed joyless politics that treat the interests of the rich as sacrosanct. Rayner and Burnham offer more character and less racism, but that's their lot. Most of the PLP and ever-so-wise commentators think change means dumping Starmer and getting someone else in, but this just isn't going to cut it. Nothing less than a political turn around and a complete reinvention in office will do, but with these heirs apparent and this PLP? It's would be a kindness to book them into a Swiss clinic now.

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Monday, 20 April 2026

Bureaucratic Theatre

Last weekend, I almost wrote about how Keir Starmer was looking safe despite the coming catastrophe of losing Wales and getting wiped out in the English local government. That was before the toxicity surrounding Peter Mandelson's appointment resurfaced. Presenting like the Spanish Inquisition, from nowhere we learned that Starmer wasn't told that the former US ambassador had failed his security vetting in January 2025 and that the Foreign Office cleared Mandelson anyway. Olly Robbins, the civil servant in charge, was promptly sacked when Starmer found out. There has since followed a who-knew-what-when game involving confected and performative frothing over procedural matters, and an effort to absolve the Prime Minister of all responsibility.

In the Commons on Monday, Starmer apologised for appointing Mandelson. But then spent the next half hour recounting the timeline. He was adamant that he wasn't told about the outcome of the security check which, rather stupidly, was undertaken only after the announcement of the appointment. This has now been changed. The problem being, and for which Starmer has not provided an answer, is that The Indy ran a lead story on the checking's failure last September and had contacted Downing Street about it. Starmer side-stepped the this question from Kemi Badenoch, hiding behind the "all process was followed" excuse. Even if this was true, didn't this query involve further discussion in Number 10 at the time? It's difficult to believe this did not reach the ears of certain senior people.

Whatever the ins and outs of process, no one is likely to believe Starmer apart from those who want to. Easily Boris Johnson's equal when it comes to matters of the truth, Starmer's leadership is so fully compromised by an economy with the actualite that everything he says should come with a warning and a lengthy fact check. His strategy to come out fighting is all about burying the problem in boring procedure to avoid blame. Reams and reams of articles going over the prescribed way of doing things and making it look like a dysfunction of arcane Whitehall machinery. This, however, is nothing but a shield. Starmer knew who Mandelson was, his history and record, his disgraces, and his close friendships with billionaires, above all convicted child sex offender Jeffrey Epstein. Starmer wasn't to know about Mandelson's treachery, but there was plenty of other things that suggested giving him the top ambassador's job was stupid. And he was appointed anyway, following Mandelson apparently lobbying Morgan McSweeney for the post and as reward for services rendered. Despite Starmer's insincere apology, he's never proffered an explanation for employing him in the first place. Because he hasn't got an acceptable answer, hence why we're getting treated to the unique tedium of Starmer's bureaucratic theatre.

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Monday, 23 March 2026

Angela Rayner's Alternative

As everyone knows, last week it was Angela Rayner's turn to upset Labour's apple cart. And it was all going so well. Her speech has been extensively reported and commented on, and there's not much that needs adding. Rayner's positioning for the inevitable leadership putsch following the locals! She's venting the frustrations of the grassroots! She's angling for a cabinet return once HMRC have pronounced on her tax affairs! She's reminding us that she exists! All of these positions were argued out in sundry outlets, and all of them are true.

As for the content of her speech to Mainstream, there's not much the average Labour member, or MP for that matter, would find disagreeable. Among Rayner's remarks was a worry that the party and the movement was facing a terminal crisis, "... we cannot go through the motions in the face of decline. We are running out of time." She's right. The traditionally myopic parliamentary party has not failed to notice the surging Greens and how Labour regularly trails them in surveys by two pollsters, but this just reaffirms the hostility canvassers are getting on punters' doorsteps, the diminishing band of volunteers up for this, the rapid emptying out of constituency meetings, and the feeble performance in council by-elections. What she doesn't mention, naturally, is her own role in overseeing the process that has hollowed out the party and pruned its roots.

Still, there was something quite significant that she said. Arguing against the ever-rightward push on immigration, she said that Shabana Mahmood's policies were "un-British" because of their unfairness that amounted to moving the goalposts. They were "not just bad policy but a breach of trust". Rayner could have gone a step further on from liberal moralism and noted how they were bad politics as well, but perhaps that would have been too much of an open challenge at this stage. Nevertheless, everyone got the message.

Including other Labour MPs. One nameless interlocutor said "The public support for what Shabana is doing is enormous, it’s probably the most popular thing the government is doing." Except it's not. Labour have thoroughly imbibed the politics of cruelty while driving immigration figures down. And the thanks they get for this? None whatsoever. Nothing Labour can do, nothing in Mahmood's programme of grinding refugees into the dirt can win over the "very real concerns" brigade of Reform voters. But what it can do, and is doing, is alienating further Labour's support on the left and in the centre. You know, the latter being where elections are won - at least according to the gospel of St Tony. Rayner, thanks to coming up through the trade union movement, understands better than cabinet yuppies that this doesn't play with the class she came from. Social conservatism is actually about defending and bettering the life chances of working class people, something one of Blue Labour's paragons affects to understand, but mysteriously, somehow, always provides an excuse for a very middle class racism, delivered at a remove by the boot of the state. Something too many Labour minister relish the chance doing, as long as they can pin the blame for this on "it's what the voters want".

However, word is abroad in Westminster circles that Mahmood is far from happy with these criticisms, and has said she'll quit if her attack on refugees and immigrants is diluted by Starmer. The latter's shifting mood is, apparently, not only because of Rayner's intervention but the realisation that the party might need those left and centrist voters after all.

In truth, given the US/Israeli attack on Iran and the inevitable consequences of retaliation and escalations - oil, gas, and fertiliser shortages, galloping energy prices, this all seems like a ridiculous sideshow. It's telling that having taken place more than a week after the beginning of the war, Rayner's speech did not reflect on it nor its impact in any meaningful way. And here is Rayner's problem. Yes, she is savvier than most of her (former) cabinet colleagues. Yes, she has a better understanding of the shape and sociology of Labour's support. But, apart from less overt racism, what is she offering apart from alternative vibes? Remember, Rayner was happy to ditch the left when it was politic to do so. She sat back as the Labour right gutted the party of its actual, living links to working class people, and even kept quiet when they systematically barred her allies in Manchester and the North West from selection. Rayner is a snappy, charming speaker and a charismatic figure, but politicians whose actions have contributed to a crisis rarely prove to be the ones capable of solving it.

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Wednesday, 18 March 2026

Labourism and Social Conservatism

"Social conservatism has always been part of Labour!", so wrote Connor Naismith last week. Seeing that Labour suffered humiliation in Manchester, he argues that there are "voices" who are laying the blame for the defeat on Blue Labour. "Traditional values", they say, need junking if Labour is going to dust itself off and return to winning ways. As a self-identifying supporter of this trend, Naismith has gone into print to defend it.

There are two parts to his argument. Firstly, social conservatism is embedded in Labourism. The party's forward march and its reformist zeal was driven by the need to protect what he calls "the moral economy". That is taking home a wage enough for a family to live on, the sustenance of "communal discipline" (i.e. solidarity), and localism. Social conservatism is social glue, and every radical programme needs that if it's going to succeed. Speaking of the 1945 Labour government, he says "They built the NHS and the welfare state not to dismantle the British way of life, but to fortify it. They were radical in their means because they were conservative in their ends: the health, dignity, and stability of British families."

Therefore, purging social conservatism is like amputating a limb. Labour and Labourism are radical because they are conservative. Social conservatism respects people where they are, imbues places with meaning, and gives relationships substance. It is a rooted politics based in the every day, and one aimed at preserving what is good while making things better. Labour would be foolish to abandon anyone who aspires to such.

The second part of his argument is why Labour in such a state. Naismith says that Labour has abandoned its vote. The breaking of the so-called red wall " ... was because gradually, over decades, the party’s centre of gravity shifted toward a metropolitan liberalism that felt increasingly judgemental of parts of the tradition that founded it." What does this actually mean? In British politics discourse the term "metropolitan liberalism" has distinct connotations. It's right wing shorthand for "things we don't like", such as equal rights and affording racial and sexual minorities recognition and respect. I don't know how long Naismith's been in Labour for, but in my nine years of knocking on doors in Stoke-on-Trent, from the dog days of Gordon Brown to Jeremy Corbyn's Waterloo, no one told me they weren't voting Labour because it supported gay rights. Or offered help to the disabled. What I got instead was a lot of "you're all the same", you "don't listen", some anti-immigration bile, and even an occasional "you've abandoned the working class". For much of the previous 30 years, that last comment was absolutely right. Who oversaw a greater decline of manufacturing than Thatcher? Tony Blair. Who did nothing to enhance collective rights in the workplace? Tony Blair. Who continued the undermining of sate institutions by subjecting them to the market? You get the idea. This was not thanks to metropolitan arrogance, though there was plenty of that around, rather it was because New Labour was open about its contempt for the labour movement, its aspirations, and presented itself as a reliable custodian of British capitalism and manager of its class relations - for capital's benefit. And when this anti-working class agenda was challenged by Corbyn's leadership, we know what happened.

Naismith's class-blind history aside, he really gives social conservatism too much credit. When we look at the toerags and fools who present themselves as Blue Labour, it's telling that this club are a) middle class, b) white men, and c) have absolutely no standing or roots in the wider labour movement. Read Maurice Glasman - I have - and it's obvious that the "economic radicalism" that is supposedly the flip side of this very, very moral politics is merely a rhetorical nod. A never-articulated alibi for a miserable dismalism of scapegoating, and stop-the-world fogeyness. If only Blue Labour was a careful plea to understand the interests of our class, its (long-declining) culture of collectivism, and putting that at the heart of policy making and the vision for a better future. Instead, what we have had under Keir Starmer is a racist effort to out-Reform Reform, the rolling back of trans rights, and until recently a noted reticence to take on bigotry. Very middle class Labour MPs and well-heeled friendly journalists defended all this because this was their idea of what social conservatism was, and they were merely giving voice to values shared by the salt-of-the-earth. Meanwhile, polling of working age Britons has found this ventriloquism is a poor impression of what they say and think. The Labour working class base was imploding because other parties were actually speaking to their interests and their actual values. It was them talking the language of respect and reciprocity, while Labour imitated the spite, the division, and the small mindedness of their opponents on the extreme right.

Thirdly, Naismith's definition of social conservatism is empty to the point of meaninglessness. If Naismith is impressed by the class cultures of old, what policies are he and his party following to promote a new collectivism appropriate to the actually existing working class? The answer to that, of course, is very little. Instead, along with racist and transphobic divide-and-rule politics, we've seen the same commitment to labour market flexibility, of letting capital run riot in the NHS, and the handing of a veto to business over crucial aspects of their much trumpeted, and much watered-down Employment Rights Act. The danger, the existential threat to Labour lies not in the call for the party to be less racist and binning off Blue Labour, but in its refusal to act as the political fulcrum of the class that made it. And this is why that class is now turning elsewhere.

Thursday, 12 March 2026

On Labour-Green Defections

One of the culprits for rendering Your Party a nullity was its importation of Labourist culture. The bureaucratic shenanigans, the behind-the-scenes bullshit, the flouting of democratic votes and "abbreviations" of its constitution have turned a promising project into a Corbyn Glee club, minus decent tunes and a promise of joy. So it's of interest that, according to The Graun, would-be defectors from Labour to the Greens want to bring something distinctly Labourist along with them: a God-given right to "their" seat.

We read that among the chats/negotiations Zack Polanski and other leading Greens have had with disaffected Labour MPs, the issue of guaranteed seats has come up. I.e. If they make the jump, that want to be sure they will be the Green candidate in the subsequent election. This is custom and practice among the other parties. Remember when Christian Wakeford waltzed over from the Tories to Labour? His automatic reselection for Bury South was part of the deal. Of course, when politics is just another career you can imagine politicians treating defection as a shuffle sideways from one position to another, with the same perks and pay intact. This attitude is baked into Labourism, seeing as the party's constitution enshrines it and successive generations of parliamentarians treat Labour as an apparatus to serve them. Hence their utter horror when the party started showing signs of a democratic life of its own during Jeremy Corbyn's tenure.

That, presumably, left wingers thinking about crossing the floor have the same attitude is disappointing, but not surprising. What's bred in the bone will out in the flesh. The problem, unlike Labour, is it's not in the gift of the party leadership to guarantee seats. Mandatory reselection sensibly rules in the Greens, as does a more decentralised structure of party affairs. An approach that has deep roots in Green parties across Europe as a collective prophylactic against bureaucracy and institutional capture by unelected party officials. The relevant part of the party's constitution lays out the procedures for candidate selection, a process that sitting MPs would, at present, be expected to go through prior to the next election. In terms of the rules, there are no privileges that attach to being a sitting member. Formally speaking, everyone is equal in candidate selection.

There are provisions for leadership intervention where no candidate has been selected, which would be appropriate to a snap election like 2017, or where a selected candidate drops out for whatever reason and a replacement needs slotting in hurriedly, but that's it. The party membership are unlikely to vote in a Labour approach simply because they like being in a party in which the membership are actually sovereign. Nor are the leadership likely to expend political capital bending over to accommodate the uncertain pledges of defectors. Right now, heading into the local elections, as the rising electoral power the Greens have the psychological whip hand. New MPs coming from Labour are a nice-to-have, but are inessential. If Labour politicians are serious about coming on over, they have to leave the belief in the supremacy of MPs, the chief tenet of Labourism, at the door.

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Tuesday, 3 March 2026

On Anti-Green Hysteria

Maybe I have a weird sense of humour, but I found Tuesday morning's YouGov poll putting the Greens in second and Labour a distant joint third hilarious. Reform on 23%, Greens 21%, and Labour and the Tories both on 16%. As the world can see, Labour's attempts to bounce back after the the Gorton and Denton drubbing have not proven successful. Who could have guessed that the Prime Minister's decision to equate Reform and the Greens would not go down well with the voters he's losing? Meanwhile, things aren't looking fantastic for Reform either. A weekend spent telegraphing what sore losers they are, Moreincommon finds Reform topping its negative poll tracker on 38%, with Labour on 34%. Its looking like the crisis in establishment politics has taken a turn for the worse.

The reasons why Labour are sinking are well rehearsed, and doesn't bear repeating. But the steady evaporation of the party under Keir Starmer is a problem. Labourism from its earliest manifestations was always a means of reconciling the organised working class with the social order, of aligning the industrial incrementalism of trade union struggle with the coalition-building and proceduralism of constitutional politics. It was and, in its best moments, remains less a moral crusade and more a means of integrating the working class into the politics and (sensible) management of British capitalism. For it to do this, Labour needs to keep its base among the popular layers. However, it's been evident since Starmer became party leader that he either does not understand this or doesn't care. Because his approach to politics is both managerialist and obsequiously deferential to business, above all the City. Yet hollowing out the party before it even took office is to undermine Labour and Labourism's utility to British capital. Apart from its hyper class conscious and, therefore, paranoid elements, capital likes Labour because of its historic role in dampening down aspirations and movements from below. They appreciate Rachel Reeves's orthodox approach to state finances, but that's a nice to have. Labour is supposed to manage and police the class relations of British capitalism for capital's benefit from within the organised workers' movement. Something it cannot do if the mass support has vanished and has gone, in the main, to a radical upstart.

This is where the hysteria seen across the Tory press since Thursday's result comes in. It has been occasionally noted that the collapse of the Tories hasn't occasioned much soul searching or panic on the right. The reason being that Reform are available to articulate the interests that have hitherto animated the Conservatives, and that despite occasional argy-bargy between Nigel Farage and Kemi Badenoch, it's clear that should the situation demand some kind of electoral arrangement or governing coalition deal could be struck. With Reform leading the polls, the right are intensely relaxed about the vestigal status of the Tories. But, having driven all before it, if they weren't expecting Reform to win in Manchester they too believed the polls about how close the contest was. Instead they were handily seen off. This shouldn't be too much of a concern considering the character of the constituency, but have inhaled their own fumes. They - like the Labour right - caricature the working class as racists moved by the same oddball concerns as they. Having had their reality impinged upon, and seeing green left populism crowding out their tired old shtick, all of a sudden they're worried. Farage's cache is anti-political establishment, of being the "change" candidate. That the Greens have successfully contested these claims on one occasion, the right are now worried that they were getting high on their supply, and that we could be back in 2017 again. A fear reinforced by Reform's stalling in most national polls.

Here then is the problem. Labour are no longer suitable as a vehicle for mass politics, and therefore cannot be a reliable pacifier. Meanwhile, the great white hope of the right is not as popular as they thought it was. Centrism is, once again, a dead letter. And the right might not be strong enough to win an election, be it a Reform government or a coalition with the Tories. At the same time, as far as both parties are concerned the insurgent Green Party has come from nowhere and threatens to drag politics as a whole into confrontation with property, work, income, living standards, and why the rich have prospered at everyone else's expense. I.e. The class concerns politics normally works hard to obfuscate, smother, and deny. It follows that the press will try everything to shove hope back in its box - character assassinations, gossip mongering, smears, scare mongering, whipping up new scapegoat campaigns. But ultimately, these efforts are doomed. Since the final defeat of Corbynism in 2019, the Tories, Reform, and especially Labour have done everything possible to keep the left out of politics. And yet here we are - the Greens are becoming the new vehicle for working class interests and is mounting a renewed challenge to the establishment's class compact. No wonder so many of them are panicked.

Friday, 27 February 2026

Labour after Gorton and Denton

It wasn't even close. While the pollsters kept coughing up the Gorton and Denton numbers that put the three parties inches from one another, the outcome was the Greens 12 points clear on 41%. Reform managed 29%, and Labour mustered a poor third on 25%. Also, shout out to the Tories for losing their deposit and managing their worst ever parliamentary by-election result. Behind this survey of the scores after the doors is a profound shift in British politics - the first time since the war when neither of the two main parties of government came first nor second, the first time the momentum behind Reform has been stymied despite receiving their customary flattery, hype, and media over-exposure. And, for the Greens, its first ever parliamentary by-election win. A day for the history books, and more signs that the Greens are becoming the new party of working class Britain.

It was also, without a shadow of a doubt, a catastrophe for Labour. They threw the kitchen sink at Gorton and Denton. Campaigning by the Prime Minister, virtually every available MP timetabled for door knocking, huge events that scraped together thousand-strong campaign days. Dodgy leaflets, off-the-scale negative messaging, all of it came to nought. The margin of victory between the Greens on the one hand and Labour on the other, while Reform cornered the constituency's right wing vote, had something more than tactical voting behind it. Like Caerphilly, Labour's traditional backers wanted change and in Hannah Spencer elected a working class woman on a socialist platform. The size of the win was also an endorsement of a different kind of politics instead of the miserabilism with dashings of racism offered by the other parties.

The cope though, the Labour Party cope, it's been a pitiful sight. Doing the rounds on breakfast TV this morning Heidi Alexander put the rejection of her candidate down to "impatience". This is the narrative that has emerged over the last six months to explain electoral reversals. After 14 ruinous years of Tory government, the punters want to see change for the better and are impatient for it. The implication being that once Labour delivers Beijing-levels of annual economic growth, wages go up, new workers' rights are bedded down, and parents feel the benefit of breakfast clubs the polling numbers will recover, delivering a renaissance at the ballot box when 2029 swings around. What poppycock. People aren't fed up with Labour because they want to see a better world yesterday, they're disgusted because the government made decisions that made life worse. Scrapping winter fuel payments for everyone bar pensioners on the lowest incomes, stupid. Relishing the opportunity to cut £5bn worth of social security support to disabled people. Stupid. And getting caught with their muzzles in the freebie trough, and then defending it. Utterly, utterly stupid. Throw in their support for the genocide in Gaza, its Farage cosplay, and the unforced error of appointing Peter Mandelson, is it any wonder that Labour's base is splintering?

Going by the commentary offered by sundry Labour MPs on social media after the by-election, it's telling that those closest to the realities of working class life understand the issues. Clive Lewis's criticisms were particularly blunt and spot on. But what chances does Labour have of learning from this disaster? The track record is not looking good. When the SNP annihilated Scottish Labour in 2015, did the party pause and reflect? Did it think about who its voters are, or ask why so much of its working class base demonstrated little loyalty to the party's unionist shibboleth and switched from voting for an anti-independence to a pro-independence party? It did not. There was scant movement for the next nine years, hoping that the vote would return without changing much. And, as it happened, enough voters were cheesed off with the SNP in government to give Labour another go. And as polls now show, most of them now have buyer's remorse. That's the record, and in his leader's letter to MPs, Keir Starmer has argued that carrying out "change" means not changing anything at all.

It's an entirely predictable epistle. There's the retread of Alexander argument that it's all "impatience", and the woe today will surely be followed by jam tomorrow. And that the Greens' win is a one off. They "simply do not have the resources, the activist base or the local knowledge to replicate this victory across the country". Brave words from a campaign that spectacularly misread the constituency's mood in what was, before yesterday, Labour's 34th safest seat. He goes on and blames the "endorsement from George Galloway" and "sectarian" politics. This latter charge is typical of a party that is just itching to attack Muslims if they have the temerity to vote for anyone else. As plenty of people have pointed out, how sectarian is a vote that has endorsed a white women standing for a party led by a gay, Jewish man? Labour think they have the Greens bang to rights because the party issued a leaflet in Urdu that pictured David Lammy with Benjamin Netanyahu and Starmer with Narendra Modi. Proof that the Greens are in the gutter of communalist politics? Only someone utterly ignorant could make such an argument in good faith. Netanyahu is on there because his government has murdered over 100,000 Muslims, with the support of Labour. Modi is on there because under his premiership, he has encouraged Hindu extremism and anti-Muslim pogroms, all the while subjecting Muslim-majority Kashmir to brutal occupation. How dare British Muslims care about their friends and relatives and be disgusted at Starmer's efforts to cosy up with the BJP. If Starmer wants to lecture others about division, he might want to reconsider his own policies first.

Starmer's letter pledges to carry on regardless. Just as his campaign tried to ignore the Greens by pitching the by-election as Labour Vs Reform, he's as intent on ignoring the reasons for Labour's defeat. An obviously suicidal attitude to take, but one typical of Labourism. Nevertheless, most Labour MPs quite like being Labour MPs and will be drawing their own conclusions. For every Clive Lewis or Nadia Whittome prepared to break ranks, there are scores of others who, quietly, know what the issues are. Yet, paradoxically, despite a humiliating defeat Starmer's position is probably strengthened in the short term. His reason for existing, to absorb the body blows of the coming meltdowns in Wales, Scotland, and the English local elections remains the case - ahead of the party selecting a new leader. Meanwhile, the Green insurgency continues. A new MP, 200,000 members, a confidence that left wing politics can see off Reform, whoever comes after Starmer it's hard to see how Labour can win back the activists, supporters, and voters it has so carelessly and needlessly shed. On the occasion of Labour's 126th birthday, Starmer's gift to the party has been a new historic low. One that, on its current trajectory, could be the first of many.

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Monday, 23 February 2026

Why Labour Can't Argue with the Left

Desperation. The word that, seen from afar, sums up Labour's campaign in Gorton and Denton. And the source of their fear is not the prospect of losing yet another seat to Reform, but conceding ground to the resurgent Greens. Having nixed Andy Burnham, the candidacies say everything about the two parties' respective trajectories. The Greens' Hannah Spencer, a plumber drawn to the party out of disgust with the political establishment. And Labour's Angeliki Stogia, a corporate lobbyist trudging a path into the parliamentary party beaten by so many others. Please tell me which is the pro-capitalist, petit bourgeois party and who is the organisation standing up for the working class in this by-election?

There have been two phases to Labour's campaign. It started with a studied failure to acknowledge the Green Party's existence. This is a fight between Labour and Reform, goes the party line, and progressive voters must get behind Angeliki to keep Reform out. The party even provided a Liberal Democrat-style bar chart putting the Greens in third place, which was hung from the property neighbouring Green campaign HQ. The problem, however, is that constituency polling - such as it is - have the Greens out in front and Labour in third. The betting markets, not that they have any special insight, also favour this outcome. Having decided pretending the Greens don't exist isn't working, they've moved on to gutter politics.

You might have thought that Reform's Matthew Goodwin, former pol prof and full-time far right grifter would have attracted Labour's ire. He's provided enough targets. He, after all, has called for a system of punitive taxation against women who do not have children. In Labour land, if it is between them and Reform then surely, surely their fiercest attacks should be turned toward the right. Instead, we get Keir Starmer calling the Green Party's public health-led approach to drugs "disgusting", and Sarah Jones, his policing minister, saying Zak Polanski wants to turn Britain's playgrounds "into crack dens". Brave considering the fondness several highly placed Labour figures have now or formerly had for the old nose powder. Labour's attitude is best summed up by Mike Tapp, the part-time home office minister and full-time clown from Dover and Deal. His vitriolic attack on the Greens stands out on his Twitter feed in sharp relief against a series of mild admonitions, at best, of Reform.

Writing in the New Statesman, John Elledge argues that Labour's hostility to the Greens, and bracketing them alongside Reform is only going to hurt Labour. What's left of their support knows there's no equivalence between the two parties. One party wants to welcome refugees, the other wants to deport Britons who don't meet their arbitrary criteria of national purity. One wants to help renters, the other wants to give landlords carte blanche to rinse tenants. You get the picture. And so do most Labour MPs, even those who performatively affect otherwise. They also know that the party's coalition has cracked and supporters are streaming to the Greens. It's not Reform that is Labour's biggest headache.

Which begs an interesting question. Labour's pandering to Reform and its attempt to outflank them from the right was and is justified by needing to win over Nigel Farage's fans. But this never applies in the opposite direction. Why doesn't Labour go harder on renters' rights, wages, workplaces, etc. to keep existing support on board? To my mind, there are two answers, both of which are baked into the party's politics. Firstly, according to the wisdom passed down from the disgraced Peter Mandelson, the electorate respond favourably to ... the spectacle of Labour attacking the interests of working class people. In this way, the stupid mistakes Starmer and Rachel Reeves made shortly after entering Downing Street - taking away winter fuel payments from "better off" pensioners, then threatening to cut support to disabled people - makes sense. They, or at least the dearly departed Morgan McSweeney, thought this would win plaudits with the press and therefore admiration among the punters. Imagine their confusion when this article of Blairist faith turned out not to be.

And the other? An inability to combat left wing critiques politically. Or, to be more accurate, offering convincing counter-arguments. The right won back control of Labour by lying its head off, and then using the bureaucracy to chase out the left. During the Corbyn years, it was the smears, the cry-bullying, and using remainerism as a proxy. None of them came up with an alternative programme that could persuade and convince. And the same is true today. Compromised by the government's support for a genocide, its scapegoating of the powerless, and a programme of weak and meek changes, Labour's biting back at Green Party criticisms would be a vain effort at gumming them to death. This is a consequence of the managerialist cadres Labour selects for its parliamentarians, typified by the man at the helm. These people are unaccustomed to hearing the word "no". But this comes on top of the Labourist tradition that, for over a century, had a political monopoly on the most organised and conscious sections of the working class. When its opponents to its left were the official Communist Party or the extra-Labour Trotskyist left, they could be ignored. When it was internal, as per Militant, they could be excluded. And on occasions when a left wing challenge pushed through, such as George Galloway's trio of election victories, or when Jeremy Corbyn and the so-called Gaza Independents won their seats, it could be put down to local circumstances. Labour has serious difficulties facing a mass left wing challenger party because it's never had to.

The result of all this is what we see today, peddling smears against the Greens that wouldn't be out of place in a Sun editorial or, for that matter, a Reform leaflet. If by some fluke Labour hold on to Gorton and Denton on Thursday, or if they somehow come ahead of the Greens, these points remain. Labour is unsuited and unprepared for a challenge from its left flank, and there's no sign, at least under this leadership and its heirs apparent, that it ever will be.

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Monday, 9 February 2026

What is the Point of Keir Starmer?

This is the worst 24 hours of Keir Starmer's leadership! Or, as the Simpson's meme has it, this is the worst 24 hours of Keir Starmer's leadership so far. The day didn't start great for the Prime Minister. Still reeling from Sunday's departure of our chum Morgan McSweeney, from out of nowhere the head of the dire Downing Street press operation, Tim Allan, threw in the towel. Whether this had something to do with weak vetting, who can say. He once handled press in this country for one Vladimir Putin, so perhaps it's merely a coincidence. Things carried on looking shaky for Starmer, before Anas Sarwar lobbed a bomb from afar. The Scottish Labour leader was calling a press conference to tell the PM to pack his bags. It looked like curtains, especially as rumours swirled that the Welsh First Minister, Eluned Morgan, was set to follow. Matters were uncertain.

Until they weren't. She denied reports, and then cabinet member after cabinet member came out to offer Starmer their backing. It ranged from a lukewarm "he doesn't need to resign" from Wes Streeting to the usual boilerplate from everyone else. You know, "he led us to a landslide victory", and "change takes a long time!", and "we have wonderful new breakfast clubs". Writing at the end of the day, it appears that Starmer survives. For now.

Ironically, this position of precarity confers on him a new reason for living. For Sarwar, calling for Starmer's head is calculated to salvage Scottish Labour's chances before this May's Holyrood elections. He's hoping that some oppositional cache will fall to his crew. I'm not so sure. After all, the few dozen Labour MPs who splashed their support for Brexit across their 2019 literature found it didn't save them. And the fact Starmer dumped Richard Leonard out of office so Sarwar could take over. Few other-party-curious Scottish Labour voters are likely to forget this, and will see it as cynical politicking. Something the SNP will no doubt remind punters of at every opportunity.

For the rest of the party, it's in no would-be leader's interest for Starmer to go. Wes Streeting has decided not to wait for the humble address and released his batch of toe curling messages between him and former best pal, Peter Mandelson. Likewise, Angela Rayner, who saved the government from an embarrassing Commons defeat last Wednesday, has to wait for the HMRC to give her "controversial" tax affairs a clean bill of health. And even those not immediately in the frame need someone to carry the can for the battering due at the Denton and Gorton by-election, and the May local and devolved elections. No new leader can afford to start their premiership with two crushing defeats.

Therefore, Starmer has use again. For Mandelson, via McSweeney, he was the marionette that would win the party back from the membership. He was then the empty suit animated almost entirely by oligarchical interests. And now that his days are numbered and the Labour right have suffered an historic embarrassment, he remains the tool of others, a meat shield whose sole purpose is to take the electoral beating coming the government's way. And when that's done, with Starmer lying bleeding and broken on the floor, that's when the up-and-comers will step over his body. Perhaps one of them will be kind enough to roll him into a ditch, but most are likely to not linger at the scene lest the miasma of poor judgement and failure clings to them.

Sunday, 8 February 2026

A Farewell to Morgan McSweeney

What a fantastic week. Peter Mandelson toasted to charcoal, the government being forced to make public all communications about him, the possibility of massive reputational damage hitting Wes Streeting when private messages between the pair come out, and capping it off Morgan McSweeney falls on his sword. Rare are the times when the doings of the worst people in politics catches up with them, but this is one such spectacular occasion.

It's not true that McSweeney was the most malignant presence in the contemporary Labour Party, because we found out that he willingly, happily had his strings pulled by Mandelson. We've learned that Uncle Peter had a hand in nodding through and barring candidates for selection ahead of the general election, displaying the customary contempt for data protection laws that the Labour right normally has for their own party rules. And that Mandelson effectively reshuffled the cabinet after Angela Rayner's departure, ensuring a leadership team more right wing and authoritarian than anything Mandelson had a hand in during the New Labour years.

That McSweeney, like large chunks of the Labour right, lionised Mandelson is common knowledge, but why? As argued here previously, McSweeney is no genius, and was only ever an "operator" when he was secure in a position of unaccountable power. McSweeney was Mandelson's apprentice, and only ever approached his master in cynicism and mendacity. His actual achievements are somewhat lesser, and among them one can count hollowing Labour out before it entered government, relying on antipathy to the Tories and the split right wing vote to win an election, and securing a weaker public endorsement than Jeremy Corbyn managed in 2019. It is under his direction that the party's support has eroded to a historical nadir, to the point where Labour's actual liquidation is on the cards, and McSweeney's relentlessly racist push on immigration has boosted the extreme right.

Obviously, none of this happened without the nod from Uncle Peter. But there is a significant difference between the two. Mandelson, like Blair and Gordon Brown, were political. Working their way up and through the party in the 1980s demanded skill, of knowing the balance of factions, the importance of the unions, the strength of the fiefdoms in the apparat, how to play to constituency parties and, where necessary, deploy political arguments to secure quiescence from opponents and find new allies. This isn't to say Labour was a nice place, far from it. But it was an institution that was significantly more than a bureaucracy for organising campaigning teams, which is what the party has become. New Labour was not inevitable, and Blair, Brown, and Mandelson had to win political fights to win the leadership and push it further to the right. The problem was they created a desert and called it peace. By battling and clearing out the left, and reducing trade unions to piggy banks that would occasionally complain but never rock the boat, successive generations of councillors, MPs, internal office seekers, and party full-timers came of age when the party was becalmed. Even in the Iraq War did little to nothing to challenge the leadership's writ.

This was the Labour Party McSweeney joined in 2001. He did the unglamorous hard yards of carrying bags, drawing up countless road groups, knocking on doors, all the things that party campaigning staff are expected to do. And, as we know, he organised campaigns too. But internal struggle? He undoubtedly listened to what Mandelson told him, heard all the stories of 1980s shenanigans from the John Spellar/constituency bore wing of the party. There will be a copy of John Golding's The Hammer of the Left lying around somewhere, but he never actually lived it. And that showed when the 2015 Labour leadership election rolled around, and his campaign - the Liz Kendall effort - mustered only four per cent of the vote. He, nor Kendall, hadn't realised that New Labourism had no base in the party outside of sections of the PLP, the bureaucracy, and the leaders' offices of a couple of tame unions. The lesson McSweeney took from this was not to wage a political struggle to make these positions popular, as the evidence of his own eyes showed he was completely clueless on this front. Instead, to defeat the left and return Labour back to its rightful professional/managerial leadership cadre, there was only one thing for it: lying.

If McSweeney has a genuine talent, it's as a con man. Because McSweeney and mates couldn't resist telling all and sundry about how clever he was, we know he ran Labour Together as a Janus-faced operation. Outwardly a soft left can't-we-all-just-get-along kumbya outfit, in reality it was a front for organising hit jobs on left wingers, left wing publications, of providing friendly media with copy targetting party members and the leadership, and once Corbyn was gone it, despite denials, ran Keir Starmer's leadership campaign - a confidence trick in which every single one of his pledges turned out to be a lie. And once McSweeney was at the top of the tree, the power of the bureaucracy was turned against the left. No persuasion, no alliance-building across party constituencies. Nothing but a petty-minded, vindictive pursuit of real and imagined enemies. There was never anything "genius" about any of this. Wielding power against the small and weak is the easiest thing in the world.

The rest is history. They say that if you wait by the river long enough, the bodies of your enemies come floating past. Many people across the labour movement have waited decades for Mandelson's cadaver to bob along with the current. And dragged in his wake is the fast festering foulness of McSweeney's former career. But unfortunately for the survivors of this last week, the damage these pair have done is so great, the dispersion of their natural constituency and core support so advanced, that something else is teetering on the bank further upstream and looks certain to topple into the water. And that is the swaying, barely-living figure of the Labour Party itself.

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Tuesday, 3 February 2026

Suitable for the Job

One thing ends now. And that's further speculation about the Peter Mandelson scandal now the police are "investigating a 72-year old man from London" over allegations of misconduct in public office. What we're not going to stop talking about is the Peter Mandelson debacle, and who was responsible for his elevation to one of the highest offices of the British state. This isn't a hard question to answer. The buck stops with Keir Starmer. It doesn't matter how hard he disowns Mandelson, the Prime Minister appointed him US ambassador. This is a charge he cannot escape from. The question then is how much Starmer knew, and when. It's this that determines whether "Mr Rules" himself should get chucked, or be pushed into falling on his sword.

The Times's Patrick Maguire has argued that this is possibly the greatest political scandal since the Profumo Affair. I'm not so sure. The Tories handing out Covid procurement contracts to their donors springs to mind. As does the wrecking campaign, subversion of democracy and undermining Labour's election efforts by the Mandelson-friendly Labour Together faction and their allies. But to be sure, allegedly leaking market sensitive information that financier pals could profit from while government was grappling with the meltdown of global capital circuits is right up there. And it is reasonable to suppose that Starmer knew nothing of this. To him, Mandelson was just a grandee that hung around the party, and whom his advisors and subordinates looked up to as The Master.

What he did know was that Mandelson was associated with Epstein, courted the global oligarchy, counted many a billionaire as paying clients and associates and, of course, had to resign in disgrace from government twice. With such a history behind him, any government with modest centre left ambitions - and Starmer's ambitions for his government are very modest - would surely steer clear. But this is the Labour Party and, of course, this is Britain. For Mandelson's meat puppet, the overrated Morgan McSweeney, what was scandalous about his mentor were ample qualifications for his putative suitability in the court of King Donald. They had a mutual friend in the late Epstein, he was totally on board with Britain being a lapdog state and saw eye-to-eye with the Trump White House on foreign policy. He was good at sucking up to the rich and powerful and, unbeknownst to Starmer and McSweeney, the Epstein files suggest Mandelson was the match for any of Trump's circle for corruption,. Minus the brash crudity. For McSweeney, elevating his mentor meant he would never be too busy to advise on what the Starmer government should be doing. And for Starmer, a man experienced with ensuring Labour never strayed far from the right and proper interests was in situ to secure the US relationship.

Starmer might not have had much interest in Mandelson until fairly recently. But from the inner party shenanigans and through McSweeney, we knew Mandelson was interested in him. When he took McSweeney's advice and appointed him ambassador, his story publicly became intertwined with Mandelson's. It becomes a question of Starmer's political judgement, which has been poor since the first day of this government. The Mandelson revelations should be the final word on the Prince of Darkness's career at the top of British politics. And, by right, it should call time on Starmer's stay in Number 10 too.

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Monday, 2 February 2026

The Unmaking of Mandelson

Why, it's the eighth day of the week, the scandalous-revelations-about-Peter-Mandelson day! Since grovelling on Laura Kuenssberg a month ago, he must have known more dirty washing was waiting in the filthy, bottomless laundry basket of the Epstein files. And over the last few days, it started snowballing. First, Epstein's funding Reinaldo Avila da Silva - Mandelson's husband - training in osteopathy came out. Then there was the £75k payment Mandelson "couldn't recall" receiving directly from his best pal. And then the real meat to this piss weak gravy: paging Epstein advance notice that the European Central Bank were bailing out the Euro to the tune of €500bn - while he was in Downing Street. Suggesting to Epstein that JP Morgan, who he subsequently did contract work for, should threaten to burn down the bond market to force the government he was part of to retreat on bankers' bonuses - while he pushed against the policy from the inside. And leaking market sensitive messages between ministers and spads so Epstein could anticipate decisions and make repeated killings. His reward? Epstein backing him for a $4m job. Funnily enough, none of this appeared in his Milquetoast memoir, The Third Man, which he was writing at the time.

In what looks like an open-and-shut case, following multiple complaints to the police the plod are now involved. The weight of evidence, and now his disowning by Keir Starmer, media incredulity, and the likely popular anger will surely mean this won't be a partygate-style whitewash. Then again, this is Britain. The problem is that publicly holding Mandelson to account could bring out all kinds of horrors that frightens the establishment. Who has benefited from being friends with Mandy? Have the projects he's been involved with, from Progress to continuity remain organisations to Labour Together and our chum Morgan McSweeney been variously compromised by this close associations? How did Mandelson use his influence while enjoying life as a EU trade commissioner to make sure the bloc's decisions reflected the billionaire interest - and did Epstein and other financiers make a wedge from the inside track he might have provided them? And, of course, what did and didn't Starmer know about his malfeasance when he was appointed the US ambassador. We're not talking about associating with the world's most notorious paedophile and sexual abuser, which even my cat knows about, but the other stuff that, to all intents and purposes, looks like treason for the benefit of his swollen bank accounts.

To be sure, Mandelson will have received a few sympathetic text messages from some mates in and around politics. He is the exemplary manifestation of the rot that is British politics. His peddling of centre ground nonsense and the importance of moderation, all that is now confirmed as self-serving drivel. Empty words that greased his way into the echelons and confidences of the masters of the universe. He is the logical culmination of the career politician, attracted to government office not because of any commitment to a set of values or public service, but simply for power, position, and profit. Which suits those who wield real power fine. There's a reason why no one gets rich from fighting for socialism. And despite this most damning of disgraces, for some who sit in the cabinet or aspire to, for decades Mandelson was their model. Achieve high office, and leverage that for big pay outs in the lucrative elite career circuit afterwards. Which begs a further disturbing question: what is being done now by ministers and politicians to secure preferment and nice jobs later?

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