Friday 30 June 2017

Quarter Two Local By-Election Results 2017

Overall, 243,117 votes were cast over 130 local authority (tier one and tier two) contests. All percentages are rounded to the nearest single decimal place. For comparison see Quarter One's results here.

  Party
Number of Candidates
Total Vote
%
+/- 
Q1
+/- Q2 2016
Average
+/-
Seats
Conservative
        128
95,687
  39.4%
+11.4%
  +10.0%
   748
 +14
Labour
        105
69,755
  28.7%
 +3.3%
    -6.0%
   664
  -10
LibDem
         99
44,432
  18.3%
  -3.4%
   +7.4%
   449
  +1
UKIP
         52
 8,691
    3.6%
  -6.1%
    -6.4%
   167
   -4
Green
         65
12,505
    5.1%
 +1.2%
    -0.9%
   192
  +1
SNP*
          0

   
   
 
    0
PC
          1
   110
    0.0%
 -3.9%
    -0.2%
   110
    0
Ind***
         30
 8,032
    3.3%
 +0.4%
    -2.1%
   268
   -4
Other****
         16
 3,916
    1.6%
 -4.2%
   +1.0%
   245
  +2

* There were no by-elections in Scotland
** There was one by-election in Wales
*** There were two Independent clashes
**** Others this quarter consisted of WEP (40), Yorks First (46), Elvis Bus Pass (51), National Bocialist (0), Residents 4 Uttlesford (623), English Democrats (188), TUSC (37, 25, 27, 83), Liberal Party (64), St Neots Ind Group (854), Monster Raving Loony (33), Health Concern (506), Our West Lancashire (705), and Seaham Community (633)

The results this quarter are dominated by the commanding lead the Tories were able to build in early May, off the back of the county council elections held on the same day. This was also that time when the Prime Minister was at the peak of her powers. How sweet it is
to be able to say with some confidence that this probably represents the high watermark of the Tories for many years to come, that is if the results for June are anything to go by.

Also notable is a more modest LibDem performance. After the election, it will be interesting to see if they're able to claw back that by-election ground they managed to corner before May set the starting pistol off pointing at her head. And UKIP, their collapse is just incredible. Remember, it's because of this souffle of a party we're in this utter mess. They will only come back in the short to medium term if David Davis looks like he's bringing back a deal that shall upset those Tories, and the small constituency they serve, who want to see the raw meat of the commission, of the EU flag spattered with blood. And for that to happen, in case any kippers are reading this, you've got to go after those Conservative seats.

No comments: