This month saw 48,753 votes cast in 20 local authority contests. All percentages are rounded to the nearest single decimal place. 11 council seats changed hands. For comparison with August's results, see here.
Party
|
Number of Candidates
|
Total Vote
|
%
|
+/- Aug
|
+/- Sep 25
|
Avge/
Contest |
+/-
Seats |
Conservative
| 20
| 8,908 |
18.3%
| +4.0 | +3.0
| 445
| 0
|
Labour
| 19
| 11,250 | 23.1%
| -1.8 | +8.7
| 592
| 0
|
Lib Dem
| 17
| 5,885
|
12.3%
| -2.7 | -3.9
| 346
| +1
|
Reform
| 20
| 8,138
| 16.7%
| -11.8 | -9.2
| 407
| +3
|
Green
| 18
| 9,553
|
19.6%
| +9.4
| +5.9
| 531
| -1
|
SNP*
| 3
| 3,313 | 6.8%
| +6.8 | +5.2
| 1,104
| -1
|
PC**
| 1
| 329 | 0.7%
| -0.8 | -1.8
| 329
| 0
|
Ind***
| 5
| 428 | 0.9%
| -8.6
| 86
| -1
| |
Other****
| 14
| 1.9%
| -1.1 | +1.1
| 68
| -1 |
* There were three by-elections in Scotland
** There was one by-election in Wales
*** There were no Independent clashes
**** Others this month were Alliance for Democracy and Freedom (28, 12, 12), Communist Party of Britain (46, 22), Edinburgh & East Lothian People (78, 9, 7), Scottish Family Party (73, 38), TUSC (56), Workers Party of Britain (466, 58), Your Party (45)
What a messy month! Conservatives: gained two, lost two. Labour: gained two, lost two. Greens: gained two, lost three. And on top of that, there's the weird Reform result. They retake the month's by-election crown with most net gains, but their vote has slewed away and have turned in a performance much worse than their current polling figures. Meanwhile, the Greens played musical council chairs with the Tories and Labour, but recorded their best ever vote tally and came second. Pure chaos.
Reform's slide is consistent with the party's downward trajectory, but this doesn't signal curtains any more than their trailing in the polls by two or three points do. It's a matter of geography. Labour are recovering in the polls. The Tories have inched forward from their doldrums, but ultimately a disproportionate set of by-elections took place on terrain not as congenial for a strong return for Reform. It's as simple as that. Ditto for the Greens too. They suffered some poor results this month, but they polled strongly in areas where they are strong. A decent comparator will be next month, where Reform are defending four seats and are fielding candidates in wards friendlier to them. If October's result hovers around September's figures, then they're in worse trouble than the polls suggest.
2nd September
Stroud, Kingswood, LDem hold
3rd September
Edinburgh, Portobello/Craigmillar, Grn gain from SNP
Edinburgh, Southside/Newington, Lab gain from SNP
Oxfordshire, Chesterton & Launton, LDem hold
Rhondda Cynon Taf, Llantwit Fardre, Con hold
Somerset, Frome West, Grn hold
10th September
Manchester, Burnage, Lab hold
North East Derbyshire, Eckington South & Renishaw, Ref gain from Lab
North Somerset, Hutton & Locking, Ref gain from Con
West Suffolk, Haverhill West, Con hold
15th September
Bassetlaw, East Markham, Ref gain from Con
17th September
Charnwood, Wreake Valley, Con gain from Grn
Sheffield, Walkley, Lab gain from Grn
South Lanarkshire, Avondale & Stonehouse, SNP gain from Ind
23rd September
Tunbridge Wells, Cranbrook, Sissinghurst & Frittenden, LDem gain from Oth
24th September
Brighton & Hove, Queen's Park, Grn gain from Lab
Cotswold, Blockley, Con gain from Grn
Milton Keynes, New Bradwell, Lab hold
South Staffordshire, Wombourne North, Con hold
Windsor & Maidenhead, Bray, Con hold
Image Credit
No comments:
Post a Comment