Saturday, 28 September 2024

Quarter Three By-Elections 2024

This quarter 311,570 votes were cast in 111 local authority contests. All percentages are rounded to the nearest single decimal place. 31 council seats changed hands. For comparison you can view Quarter Two's results here.



* Reform's comparison results are based on recomputing their tallies in Others over the last quarter/year
** There were nine by-elections in Scotland
*** There were three by-elections in Wales
**** There were 13 Independent clashes
***** Others this month were Alba (133), Crewe First (109), Freedom Alliance (178, 25), Heritage Party (115, 30), Independence for Scotland (236), Liberal (125, 58), Party of Women (19), Scottish Family Party (53), TUSC (550,  178, 83), UKIP (148), Workers' Party (460, 300, 274, 166, 52), Yorkshire Party (634). Comparison results are now based on the last quarter's result with Reform's totals subtracted.

A huge vote for Labour and very little to show for it. It's too early to say if disaffection with Starmer's performance in office is behind this sudden about turn in fortunes, but to see the Tories come out of a quarter that saw their worst election defeat ever with a net gain of councillors has to constitute some sort of record. For those who pay attention to such things, it was a good while before Labour got on the front foot following the suspension of by-elections during the Covid lockdown period.

Elsewhere, the Lib Dems aren't going to be chuffed with their results. But the Greens continue to make steady progress, and making their debut on the quarterly round up is Reform. A small vote share seeing as they've only ramped up their local operations this last month, but they netted their first by-election gain in July. Unfortunately, provided they do start taking local party building seriously their vote share can only go up for the time being.

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