Saturday, 30 September 2017

Quarter Three By-Election Results 2017





















Overall, 89,580 votes were cast over 63 local authority (tier one and tier two) contests. All percentages are rounded to the nearest single decimal place. For comparison see Quarter Two's results here.

  Party
Number of Candidates
Total Vote
%
+/- 
Q2
+/- Q3 2016
Average
+/-
Seats
Conservative
         62
27,431
   30.6%
  -8.8%
   +2.6%
   442
    -6
Labour
         59
33,706
   37.6%
 +8.9%
   +8.7%
   571
   +8
LibDem
         51
10,648
   11.9%
  -6.4%
    -6.1%
   209
    -1
UKIP
         22
 1,801
    2.0%
  -1.6%
    -7.3%
   167
    -3
Green
         32
 4,614
    5.2%
 +0.1%
   +1.5%
    82
   +2
SNP*
          4
 4,240
    5.2%
 +5.2%
   +1.3%
  1,060
     0
PC
          0
  
   
   
 
     0
Ind***
         26
 5,429
    6.1%
 +2.8%
   +4.2%
   209
   +1
Other****
         11
 1,681
    1.9%
 +0.3%
    -0.3%
   153
    -1

* There were four by-elections in Scotland
** There were no by-elections in Wales
*** There were four Independent clashes
**** Others this quarter consisted of A Better Britain - Unionist Party (858), Chase Independent Party (65 and 42), BNP (75), Demos (25), North East Party (80), Save Our Stretton (455), Scottish Libertarian (12 and 12) Yorkshire Party (19 and 37).

Last quarter proved to be pride before the Tory fall, both in terms of declining vote share and the gifting away of council seats while Labour's support continues to strengthen. What is interesting is how polarisation is working out. The LibDems are falling back, UKIP are getting eviscerated and yet life is tickety-boo for the Greens and Independents.

Are we likely to see similar happen next month? Probably.

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