Quarter Three By-Election Results 2019

Overall, 69,839 votes were cast over 44 local authority (tier one and tier two) contests. All percentages are rounded to the nearest single decimal place. For comparison you can view Quarter Two's results here.

Party	Number of Candidates	Total Vote	%	+/-  Q2	+/- Q3 2018	Average	+/- Seats
Conservative	41	21,460	30.7%	+5.0%	-3.7%	523	-5
Labour	39	13,579	19.4%	-8.0%	-11.3%	348	-2
LibDem	39	22,314	32.0%	+12.6%	+14.8%	572	+8
UKIP	7	447	0.6%	-3.4%	-0.6%	64	0
Green	21	2,423	3.5%	-3.0%	-1.1%	115	0
SNP*	2	2,784	4.0%	-0.3%	+2.0%	1,392	0
PC**	3	742	1.1%	-1.3%	+0.1%	247	+1
Ind***	21	3,240	4.6%	-4.7%	-2.1%	154	-3
Other****	16	2,850	4.1%	-1.1%	+1.8%	178	+1

* There were two by-elections in Scotland
** There were three by-elections in Wales
*** There were five Independent clashes
**** Others this quarter consisted of Brexit Party (111, 152, 153, 193), Communist Party of Britain (18), For Britain (166), Herefordshire It's Our County (304), Yorkshire Party (349), and the Women's Equality Party (90), Radcliffe First (824), and Scottish Libertarian (12), Putting Cumbria First (23), Liberal Party (293), End Austerity (138), Justice Party (5, 9).

It's one thing for the Liberal Democrats to top the poll in a month, but to manage it for a quarter? Credit where credit's due, a top performance from them. Though with how long is this going to persist for? I might suggest normal service will resume in the last quarter and one of the big two will resume numero uno. Yet what is "normal service" these days? Brexit's distorting everything, and the smart money is on an Autumn general election. Who knows what weirdies and nasties that may unleash, and then there's the resolution to this stage of Brexit too. Would no deal strap a Saturn 5 to the LibDem's chances? Is an extension about to power the Brexit Party to new heights?

Chances are we'll know by the next time I pause to write up the quarter's results.

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