Rishi Sunak's spectacular mishandling of the D-Day commemorations have been nothing less than catastrophic for the Tories. What has happened owes less to the successful unfolding of Operation Overlord on the beaches 80 years ago. Instead it reminds one of Operation Dynamo, the hasty, chaotic evacuation of British, Belgian, and French troops from Dunkirk four years previously. Except that salvaged a huge allied army from the jaws of defeat. For Sunak, his mistake - easily the equal of Boris Johnson's party gate or Liz Truss tanking the economy - will not have any upside for the beleaguered forces of the Conservative Party. It does instead make their coming defeat all the more total and final.
The popular legitimacy of the British state has declined in recent years, exemplified by the relatively muted popular reaction to the death of the Queen and King Charles's coronation. But the Second World War and the role Britain played in the defeat of the Nazis remains a source of pride and nostalgia, particularly for the post-war generation who grew up in its shadow. They learned about the hardships and tragedies straight from their parents. Most families have relatives that served in the war and, in a lot of cases, that has become part of the background of who they are. Even if people don't know the ins and outs of the major battles. They appreciate and respect what millions went through, and feel gratitude for the hundreds of thousands of Britons who were killed at home and overseas.
By ducking out of the commemorations early, ostensibly to record an interview with ITV News to deny allegations of lying during Tuesday night's leaders' debate is a double thumbing of the nose to official ritual and the sacrifices made by those who did not come home. If this was not the middle of the election, in terms of the mores and propriety of bourgeois politics it would be a resigning matter. Especially so now it has emerged that Sunak had to be persuaded by Emmanuel Macron to attend in the first place.
What the hell has happened? For Nigel Farage, Sunak "doesn't care about our culture" (nudge, nudge, wink, wink). This dog whistling doesn't wash. Rather, Sunak's clanger has its roots in his class politics. For one, this place was talking about his lack of nous before it was fashionable. It might be that Sunak is a singly incompetent guy, but this is inseparable from his political programme. Which, baldly put, is to offer absolutely nothing. It was evident from his first day in office, and since then all of his policies have been punitive culture war rubbish. This is about trying to manage people's expectations by offering nothing, so they in turn won't make future demands on the state. Pulling off the class politics of not doing anything requires skill, and that's something Sunak obviously lacks.
This is compounded by what is becoming the worst Tory election campaign ever. Even worse than Theresa May's 2017 debacle which, you'll remember, still managed to get her over the line as the largest party. Sunak's challenge - to keep together a rump from which some sort of recovery might be staged - was rendered almost impossible by Farage's return. And so, he's done what so many of his boss class fellows rail against: he's quietly quit. This checking out is evident from the half-arsed round of apology interviews. With him looking under threat in his own nominally super safe seat, who can blame him if his vista is filled not by the Downing Street dining table but a golden horizon of silhouetted palm trees and sun kissed beaches? Life as a moneybags venture capitalist hanging out in Silicon Valley must seem so much simpler and alluring than the dross of British politics.
It's all over. All Labour need do is sit back, and perhaps have a bit of fun speculating what terrible blunder Sunak will commit next.
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If we're comparing Sunak's actions to allied amphibious assaults in WW2 may I submit the Dieppe raid? Such a poorly planned shit show the deployed tanks couldn't gain purchase on the shingle and were left stuck at the bottom of the beach, sitting ducks for the Nazis.
ReplyDeleteMore on topic, it is a very strange feeling seeing how this really could be it for the Tories. They've been around for centuries and you can't help but assume they'll always be around but things are going so badly they just might be about to go the way of the Whigs.
“ Instead it reminds one of Operation Dynamo, the hasty, chaotic evacuation of British, Belgian, and French troops from Dunkirk four years previously.”
ReplyDeleteYes, very much so because what we know about the Dunkirk evacuation is that the officer class went missing. The troops waiting on the beach were told ‘all men for themselves’ while they waited to be rescued. There was a near mutiny following the Dunkirk evacuation with British troops discarding weapons and uniform in disgust at the way their officers abandoned them.
History repeating itself, first as tragedy, then as farce.
Sometimes I wonder whether this election is being "thrown" to New, New Labour because things are so strange, for example the determination of the BoE to keep the property market down, that both Sunak and Starmer had amazingly fast political careers starting with being gifted very safe seats, and the press attacking constantly Conservative personalities for character issues that would have been ignored in different times or put in a small column on page 23, such as Johnson's expensive wallpaper and work meetings with cake and beer, while treating Starmer and New, New Labour personalities
ReplyDeleteI am still astonished that the Conservatives and the tory press have not made a major issue of Starmer trying to frighten off affluent "Middle England" voters with his claim "I am a socialist", with ads like those they used against Blair in 1997, like this:
https://blissex.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/poliukstarmerdemontrot.jpg
Even stranger, "The Guardian" instead of denouncing him as a dangerous "trot" has been publishing supportive articles:
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/jun/02/socialism-isnt-a-dirty-word-its-simply-about-wanting-to-make-a-fairer-society
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/may/30/a-brief-history-of-socialism-from-the-1381-peasants-revolt-to-the-2024-keir-starmer
BTW apparently "socialism" is a radicalising ideology leading to terrorism, has Starmer being reported? :-)
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/mar/07/socialism-anti-fascism-anti-abortion-prevent-list-terrorism-warning-signs
“A document from Prevent, the official scheme to stop radicalisation, includes believing in socialism, communism, anti-fascism and anti-abortion in a list of potential signs of ideologies leading to terrorism.”
What is also interesting is two pieces of timing. Firstly, as the reactionary petty-bourgeois wing of the Tories has had its head for the last 8 years, and destroyed Toryism, via Brexit, who was standing with world leaders in place of Sunak? Cameron, ready for a Conservative counter-coup, and realignment.
ReplyDeleteSecondly, the timing of Jonathan Dimbleby's book, "Endgame: How Stalin Won The War", which sets out how Germany had already lost the war at the point that the USSR defeated it at the gates of Moscow, and more or less continuously pushed it back. By 1944, it was already over for Germany, as the USSR left fight without any second front for more than two years, was marching ever Westwards.
It was that which prompted the US (the UK itself had been defeated and isolated by 1940, after Dunkirk, and would have collapsed without the US) to open the second front, before all of Europe was taken by the USSR. As the history of the war in the pacific shows, a similar motivation as the USSR surge down towards Japan, was the reason for it surrendering to the US, and its was the US that got Japan to hand over Taiwan/Formosa, which they occupied) to the butchers of Chiang Kai Shek, to prevent the Chinese CP taking over.
But, back to the first point, it means don't write off the Conservatives, as the Tories split from them to align with Reform. The Conservatives have the weight and resources to realign with Liberals, and to return to becoming the party of big capital, and its need to be in the EU.
Labourite tailism will have screwed it yet again.
I have not been following this controversy closely, but one thing struck me as odd. Why is the Chancellor of Germany in that photograph, but the Prime Minister of Canada is not?
ReplyDelete