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Friday, 26 April 2024

Local Council By-Elections April 2024

This month saw 23,094 votes cast in 10 local authority contests. All percentages are rounded to the nearest single decimal place. Three council seats changed hands. For comparison with March's results, see here.

Party
Number of Candidates
Total Vote
%
+/- Mar
+/- Apr 23
Avge/
Contest
+/-
Seats
Conservative
          10
 7,129
    30.9%
 +13.9
     +2.7
   713
   +2
Labour
           9
 5,163
    22.4%
  +0.2
    -27.4
  574
     0
Lib Dem
           8
 4,444
    19.2%
   -1.9
     +5.7
   556
    -1
Green
           5
 1,232
     5.3%
   -7.3
     +2.5
   246
     0
SNP*
           2
 1,816
     7.9%
  +2.0
     +7.9
   908
     0
PC**
           0
 
    
  
     
  
     0
Ind***
           8
 3,307
    14.3%
  -4.8
     +9.8
   413
    -1
Other****
           6
 1,361
     5.9%
 +5.0
     +5.4
   227
     0


* There were two by-elections in Scotland
** There were two by-elections in Wales
*** There were two Independent clashes
**** Others this month consisted of Alba (107), Common Ground (573), Fateham Residents (307), Propel (292), Reform (141), Sovereignty (41)

A rally before the inevitable slump? April is a funny old month in council by-election terms. The nearer to the May elections we get, the more vacancies are held over until the locals' polling day. It makes sense so stretched party activists can have by-election campaigns folded into a wider local effort. As such, this month is usually quiet and can lead to some properly distorted results. For example, last year there were only three by-elections, which meant Labour came away with almost half the vote. In 2024 there have been a lot more contests, and would you believe it the Tories have come out on top in votes won and seats captured. Given the state of the polls, we can firmly put its performance down to local authority quirks. In both cases, the wards taken were previously Independent-held. So make of that what you will. None of it suggests that Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and the Greens won't make further gains at the Tories' expense this time next week.

NB Common Ground in 'Others' is a local pact between the Greens and Plaid Cymru in parts of Wales.

4 April
Cornwall, Looe West, Pelynt, Lansallos and Lanteglos, LDem hold
North Northamptonshire, Desborough, Con hold
Wealden, Uckfield New Town, Ind hold

11 April
Highland, Inverness South, Ind gain from LDem
North Yorkshire, Stray, Woodlands and Hookstone, LDem hold

16 April
Pembrokeshire, St Ishmaels, Con gain from Ind

18 April
East Cambridgeshire, Ely West, LDem hold
Waverley, Farnham Castle, Oth hold

25 April
Angus, Arbroath West, Letham and Friockheim, Con gain from Ind
Cardiff, Grangetown, Lab hold

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