
This month saw 22,173 votes cast in 10 local authority contests. All percentages are rounded to the nearest single decimal place. Eight council seats changed hands. For comparison with March's results, see here.
Party
|
Number of Candidates
|
Total Vote
|
%
|
+/- Mar
|
+/- Apr 25
|
Avge/
Contest |
+/-
Seats |
Conservative
|
10
| 3,701 |
16.7%
| -3.7 |
+3.6
|
370
|
-1
|
Labour
|
9
| 2,483 |
11.2%
| -0.7 |
-8.4
| 276
|
-2
|
Lib Dem
|
9
| 2,156
|
9.7%
| -8.2 |
-11.2
|
240
|
0
|
Reform
|
10
| 7,603
|
34.2%
| +4.6 |
+14.5
|
760
| +2
|
Green
|
10
| 5,510
|
24.9%
| +9.5
|
+11.6
|
551
|
+2
|
SNP*
|
0
|
0
| |||||
PC**
|
0
|
0
| |||||
Ind***
|
5
| 499 |
2.3%
|
-0.2
|
100
|
-1
| |
Other****
|
2
|
1.0%
| +1.0 |
+0.5
|
111
|
0 |
* There were no by-elections in Scotland
** There were no by-election in Wales
*** There were no Independent clashes
**** Others in April consisted of Advance UK (28), Together for Bury (193)
Another month of firsts. The highest, if memory serves, vote tally enjoyed by Reform. The same also applies to the Greens. Who says Duverger's Law is dead? It's alive and well and working its way though council by-elections.
Okay, that's pushing it but for both parties these strong by-election results suggest favourable results after polls close for the devolved and local council polls next Thursday. People who are anticipating them with some dread are the Conservatives and Labour. 17% is about standard for the Tories these days. Abysmal. And, between the 11-12% mark for Labour is increasingly common. Catastrophic. The party only has itself to blame. The indicators have been there for a long time. The nature of Labour's coalition was obvious following the 2017 election, and here we are instead. Worthy of note also is the pretty poor result for the Liberal Democrats - I can't remember the last time their total dipped below 10%. It's likely to be a quirk of who was up and when in this clutch of by-elections, but as they have been displaced by the Greens in most polls, their gradual displacement/replacement by them cannot be ruled out.
May sees quite a few by-elections scheduled for polling day, so it's going to be a busy month with plenty of movement.
2 April
Bury, Tottington, Ref gain from Con
Luton, Wigmore, Ref gain from LDem
North Devon, Fremington, LDem gain from Ind
Rossendale, Hareholme & Waterfoot, Grn gain from Lab
9 April
Kent, Cliftonville, Grn gain from Ref
16 April
Leicestershire, Narborough & Whetstone, Ref hold
Northumberland, Cramlington South West, Con gain from Ref
22 April
Salford, Barton and Winton, Ref gain from Lab
23 April
Cornwall, Newquay Porth & Tretherras, Ref hold
30 April
Malvern Hills, Tenbury, Ref gain from Con
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